Ongoing subtropical high pressure and elevated sea-surface temperatures near 86–88°F in the western Atlantic sustain strong diurnal heating and humidity for Miami on August 15, positioning National Weather Service and model guidance around a 91–92°F daily maximum under initially sunny skies. Recent observations, including a 96°F high the prior day amid heat advisories, support the market’s heavy weighting on the 92–93°F bin at 70.5% implied probability, while scattered afternoon sea-breeze convergence or convection introduces limited downside risk. Historical August normals center near 91°F, with the current warm anomaly and light southeast flow explaining the 26% chance assigned to 94–95°F. Updated short-range model runs and real-time observations will refine resolution criteria before sunset.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月15日邁阿密的最高溫度？
8月15日邁阿密的最高溫度？
92-93°F 72%
94-95°F 25%
90-91°F 2%
96-97°F <1%
$38,347 交易量
$38,347 交易量
2026-08-15
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
72%
94-95°F
25%
96-97°F
1%
98°F或更高
<1%
92-93°F 72%
94-95°F 25%
90-91°F 2%
96-97°F <1%
$38,347 交易量
$38,347 交易量
2026-08-15
79°F or below
$132 交易量
<1%
80-81°F
$259 交易量
<1%
82-83°F
$232 交易量
<1%
84-85°F
$2,023 交易量
<1%
86-87°F
$1,709 交易量
<1%
88-89°F
$3,339 交易量
<1%
90-91°F
$6,451 交易量
2%
92-93°F
$13,477 交易量
72%
94-95°F
$6,050 交易量
25%
96-97°F
$1,564 交易量
1%
98°F或更高
$3,112 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing subtropical high pressure and elevated sea-surface temperatures near 86–88°F in the western Atlantic sustain strong diurnal heating and humidity for Miami on August 15, positioning National Weather Service and model guidance around a 91–92°F daily maximum under initially sunny skies. Recent observations, including a 96°F high the prior day amid heat advisories, support the market’s heavy weighting on the 92–93°F bin at 70.5% implied probability, while scattered afternoon sea-breeze convergence or convection introduces limited downside risk. Historical August normals center near 91°F, with the current warm anomaly and light southeast flow explaining the 26% chance assigned to 94–95°F. Updated short-range model runs and real-time observations will refine resolution criteria before sunset.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
交易量
$38,347結束日期
2026-08-15市場開放時間
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing subtropical high pressure and elevated sea-surface temperatures near 86–88°F in the western Atlantic sustain strong diurnal heating and humidity for Miami on August 15, positioning National Weather Service and model guidance around a 91–92°F daily maximum under initially sunny skies. Recent observations, including a 96°F high the prior day amid heat advisories, support the market’s heavy weighting on the 92–93°F bin at 70.5% implied probability, while scattered afternoon sea-breeze convergence or convection introduces limited downside risk. Historical August normals center near 91°F, with the current warm anomaly and light southeast flow explaining the 26% chance assigned to 94–95°F. Updated short-range model runs and real-time observations will refine resolution criteria before sunset.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$38,347結束日期
2026-08-15市場開放時間
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETOngoing subtropical high pressure and elevated sea-surface temperatures near 86–88°F in the western Atlantic sustain strong diurnal heating and humidity for Miami on August 15, positioning National Weather Service and model guidance around a 91–92°F daily maximum under initially sunny skies. Recent observations, including a 96°F high the prior day amid heat advisories, support the market’s heavy weighting on the 92–93°F bin at 70.5% implied probability, while scattered afternoon sea-breeze convergence or convection introduces limited downside risk. Historical August normals center near 91°F, with the current warm anomaly and light southeast flow explaining the 26% chance assigned to 94–95°F. Updated short-range model runs and real-time observations will refine resolution criteria before sunset.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions