Latest KMA short-range guidance and international model ensembles project daytime maxima of 30–33 °C for Incheon/Seoul on August 16 under mostly cloudy skies with a 20–30 % chance of scattered showers. This keeps the highest temperature tightly contested between 29 °C and 30 °C, as modest differences in cloud thickness or shower timing can suppress peak readings by 1–2 °C. Historical August climatology shows typical highs of 29–31 °C, so current conditions align with seasonal norms rather than extremes. Updated model runs and KMA briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the thermal and moisture profiles that ultimately determine whether the daily maximum settles at the lower or upper end of the narrow 28–31 °C range favored by traders.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月16日首爾（仁川）最高溫度？
8月16日首爾（仁川）最高溫度？
29°C 33%
30°C 32%
28°C 18%
31°C 8%
最新
$10,151 交易量
最新
$10,151 交易量
2026-08-16
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
3%
27°C
6%
28°C
18%
29°C
33%
30°C
32%
31°C
8%
32°C or higher
4%
29°C 33%
30°C 32%
28°C 18%
31°C 8%
最新
$10,151 交易量
最新
$10,151 交易量
2026-08-16
22°C or below
$374 交易量
<1%
23°C
$301 交易量
<1%
24°C
$266 交易量
<1%
25°C
$262 交易量
<1%
26°C
$376 交易量
3%
27°C
$484 交易量
6%
28°C
$578 交易量
18%
29°C
$1,736 交易量
33%
30°C
$4,022 交易量
32%
31°C
$636 交易量
8%
32°C or higher
$1,116 交易量
4%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest KMA short-range guidance and international model ensembles project daytime maxima of 30–33 °C for Incheon/Seoul on August 16 under mostly cloudy skies with a 20–30 % chance of scattered showers. This keeps the highest temperature tightly contested between 29 °C and 30 °C, as modest differences in cloud thickness or shower timing can suppress peak readings by 1–2 °C. Historical August climatology shows typical highs of 29–31 °C, so current conditions align with seasonal norms rather than extremes. Updated model runs and KMA briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the thermal and moisture profiles that ultimately determine whether the daily maximum settles at the lower or upper end of the narrow 28–31 °C range favored by traders.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$10,151結束日期
2026-08-16市場開放時間
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest KMA short-range guidance and international model ensembles project daytime maxima of 30–33 °C for Incheon/Seoul on August 16 under mostly cloudy skies with a 20–30 % chance of scattered showers. This keeps the highest temperature tightly contested between 29 °C and 30 °C, as modest differences in cloud thickness or shower timing can suppress peak readings by 1–2 °C. Historical August climatology shows typical highs of 29–31 °C, so current conditions align with seasonal norms rather than extremes. Updated model runs and KMA briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the thermal and moisture profiles that ultimately determine whether the daily maximum settles at the lower or upper end of the narrow 28–31 °C range favored by traders.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$10,151結束日期
2026-08-16市場開放時間
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETLatest KMA short-range guidance and international model ensembles project daytime maxima of 30–33 °C for Incheon/Seoul on August 16 under mostly cloudy skies with a 20–30 % chance of scattered showers. This keeps the highest temperature tightly contested between 29 °C and 30 °C, as modest differences in cloud thickness or shower timing can suppress peak readings by 1–2 °C. Historical August climatology shows typical highs of 29–31 °C, so current conditions align with seasonal norms rather than extremes. Updated model runs and KMA briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the thermal and moisture profiles that ultimately determine whether the daily maximum settles at the lower or upper end of the narrow 28–31 °C range favored by traders.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions