Current numerical weather prediction models, including consensus runs from major centers, indicate a maximum temperature in Moscow on August 16 most likely between 24–25°C under partly cloudy conditions with light winds and limited daytime heating. This aligns with seasonal norms for mid-August, when average highs hover near 22°C, though recent model trends show slightly warmer boundary-layer air due to southerly flow ahead of a weak frontal system. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward these two outcomes while assigning lower probability to outliers above 26°C or below 23°C. Updated forecasts expected later today from agencies like Roshydromet could refine these estimates ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月16日莫斯科的最高溫度？
8月16日莫斯科的最高溫度？
24°C 41%
25°C 26%
23°C 22%
22°C 7%
最新
$11,560 交易量
最新
$11,560 交易量
2026-08-16
20°C or below
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
7%
23°C
22%
24°C
41%
25°C
26%
26°C
5%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 41%
25°C 26%
23°C 22%
22°C 7%
最新
$11,560 交易量
最新
$11,560 交易量
2026-08-16
20°C or below
$1,376 交易量
1%
21°C
$865 交易量
2%
22°C
$497 交易量
7%
23°C
$1,657 交易量
22%
24°C
$1,886 交易量
41%
25°C
$1,564 交易量
26%
26°C
$867 交易量
5%
27°C
$301 交易量
2%
28°C
$499 交易量
<1%
29°C
$1,739 交易量
<1%
30°C or higher
$308 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models, including consensus runs from major centers, indicate a maximum temperature in Moscow on August 16 most likely between 24–25°C under partly cloudy conditions with light winds and limited daytime heating. This aligns with seasonal norms for mid-August, when average highs hover near 22°C, though recent model trends show slightly warmer boundary-layer air due to southerly flow ahead of a weak frontal system. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward these two outcomes while assigning lower probability to outliers above 26°C or below 23°C. Updated forecasts expected later today from agencies like Roshydromet could refine these estimates ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$11,560結束日期
2026-08-16市場開放時間
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models, including consensus runs from major centers, indicate a maximum temperature in Moscow on August 16 most likely between 24–25°C under partly cloudy conditions with light winds and limited daytime heating. This aligns with seasonal norms for mid-August, when average highs hover near 22°C, though recent model trends show slightly warmer boundary-layer air due to southerly flow ahead of a weak frontal system. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward these two outcomes while assigning lower probability to outliers above 26°C or below 23°C. Updated forecasts expected later today from agencies like Roshydromet could refine these estimates ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$11,560結束日期
2026-08-16市場開放時間
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather prediction models, including consensus runs from major centers, indicate a maximum temperature in Moscow on August 16 most likely between 24–25°C under partly cloudy conditions with light winds and limited daytime heating. This aligns with seasonal norms for mid-August, when average highs hover near 22°C, though recent model trends show slightly warmer boundary-layer air due to southerly flow ahead of a weak frontal system. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward these two outcomes while assigning lower probability to outliers above 26°C or below 23°C. Updated forecasts expected later today from agencies like Roshydromet could refine these estimates ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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