Current numerical weather prediction consensus from the Israel Meteorological Service, ECMWF, and GFS models positions a daytime maximum of 33°C as the most probable outcome for Tel Aviv on August 16, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, abundant solar insolation, and light westerly flow typical of mid-August Mediterranean conditions. This setup favors strong surface heating with limited moisture advection or cloud development that could suppress temperatures. Sea-breeze moderation and boundary-layer mixing introduce minor uncertainty around the exact peak, supporting the 70.5% market-implied probability for 33°C while keeping 32°C and 34°C as plausible alternatives. No major model shifts or synoptic changes have emerged in the past 48 hours to alter this outlook.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月16日特拉維夫的最高溫度？
8月16日特拉維夫的最高溫度？
33°C 71%
32°C 20%
34°C 9%
31°C 2%
最新
最新
2026-08-16
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
20%
33°C
71%
34°C
9%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 71%
32°C 20%
34°C 9%
31°C 2%
最新
最新
2026-08-16
29°C or below
$196 交易量
<1%
30°C
$476 交易量
1%
31°C
$167 交易量
2%
32°C
$798 交易量
20%
33°C
$945 交易量
71%
34°C
$379 交易量
9%
35°C
$215 交易量
2%
36°C
$322 交易量
<1%
37°C
$247 交易量
<1%
38°C
$129 交易量
<1%
39°C or higher
$441 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction consensus from the Israel Meteorological Service, ECMWF, and GFS models positions a daytime maximum of 33°C as the most probable outcome for Tel Aviv on August 16, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, abundant solar insolation, and light westerly flow typical of mid-August Mediterranean conditions. This setup favors strong surface heating with limited moisture advection or cloud development that could suppress temperatures. Sea-breeze moderation and boundary-layer mixing introduce minor uncertainty around the exact peak, supporting the 70.5% market-implied probability for 33°C while keeping 32°C and 34°C as plausible alternatives. No major model shifts or synoptic changes have emerged in the past 48 hours to alter this outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$4,314結束日期
2026-08-16市場開放時間
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction consensus from the Israel Meteorological Service, ECMWF, and GFS models positions a daytime maximum of 33°C as the most probable outcome for Tel Aviv on August 16, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, abundant solar insolation, and light westerly flow typical of mid-August Mediterranean conditions. This setup favors strong surface heating with limited moisture advection or cloud development that could suppress temperatures. Sea-breeze moderation and boundary-layer mixing introduce minor uncertainty around the exact peak, supporting the 70.5% market-implied probability for 33°C while keeping 32°C and 34°C as plausible alternatives. No major model shifts or synoptic changes have emerged in the past 48 hours to alter this outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,314結束日期
2026-08-16市場開放時間
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather prediction consensus from the Israel Meteorological Service, ECMWF, and GFS models positions a daytime maximum of 33°C as the most probable outcome for Tel Aviv on August 16, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, abundant solar insolation, and light westerly flow typical of mid-August Mediterranean conditions. This setup favors strong surface heating with limited moisture advection or cloud development that could suppress temperatures. Sea-breeze moderation and boundary-layer mixing introduce minor uncertainty around the exact peak, supporting the 70.5% market-implied probability for 33°C while keeping 32°C and 34°C as plausible alternatives. No major model shifts or synoptic changes have emerged in the past 48 hours to alter this outlook.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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