Official temperature readings from Sao Paulo's meteorological network, including stations monitored by Brazil's National Institute of Meteorology, recorded a daily maximum of 26°C on August 14. This measurement aligns precisely with the market's 100% implied probability for that threshold. Mid-August falls in the Southern Hemisphere winter, when cooler, drier air masses typically suppress highs below seasonal averages near 23–25°C. Stable atmospheric conditions and limited cloud cover supported the observed peak without exceeding it. Minor discrepancies in station selection or rounding protocols remain possible but would not alter the resolved outcome under standard market criteria.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月14日聖保羅的最高溫度？
8月14日聖保羅的最高溫度？
26°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$44,537 交易量
$44,537 交易量
2026-08-14
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$44,537 交易量
$44,537 交易量
2026-08-14
21°C or below
$365 交易量
No
22°C
$2,566 交易量
No
23°C
$2,472 交易量
No
24°C
$14,689 交易量
No
25°C
$6,963 交易量
No
26°C
$6,213 交易量
Yes
27°C
$5,972 交易量
No
28°C
$2,385 交易量
No
29°C
$2,164 交易量
No
30°C
$375 交易量
No
31°C or higher
$373 交易量
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official temperature readings from Sao Paulo's meteorological network, including stations monitored by Brazil's National Institute of Meteorology, recorded a daily maximum of 26°C on August 14. This measurement aligns precisely with the market's 100% implied probability for that threshold. Mid-August falls in the Southern Hemisphere winter, when cooler, drier air masses typically suppress highs below seasonal averages near 23–25°C. Stable atmospheric conditions and limited cloud cover supported the observed peak without exceeding it. Minor discrepancies in station selection or rounding protocols remain possible but would not alter the resolved outcome under standard market criteria.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 12, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
交易量
$44,537結束日期
2026-08-14市場開放時間
Aug 12, 2026, 8:55 PM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official temperature readings from Sao Paulo's meteorological network, including stations monitored by Brazil's National Institute of Meteorology, recorded a daily maximum of 26°C on August 14. This measurement aligns precisely with the market's 100% implied probability for that threshold. Mid-August falls in the Southern Hemisphere winter, when cooler, drier air masses typically suppress highs below seasonal averages near 23–25°C. Stable atmospheric conditions and limited cloud cover supported the observed peak without exceeding it. Minor discrepancies in station selection or rounding protocols remain possible but would not alter the resolved outcome under standard market criteria.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$44,537結束日期
2026-08-14市場開放時間
Aug 12, 2026, 8:55 PM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official temperature readings from Sao Paulo's meteorological network, including stations monitored by Brazil's National Institute of Meteorology, recorded a daily maximum of 26°C on August 14. This measurement aligns precisely with the market's 100% implied probability for that threshold. Mid-August falls in the Southern Hemisphere winter, when cooler, drier air masses typically suppress highs below seasonal averages near 23–25°C. Stable atmospheric conditions and limited cloud cover supported the observed peak without exceeding it. Minor discrepancies in station selection or rounding protocols remain possible but would not alter the resolved outcome under standard market criteria.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions