Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and aligned models indicate a daily maximum near 32°C for August 17, 2026, consistent with typical August climatology of 31–32°C highs amid high humidity, scattered showers, and afternoon thunderstorms. These conditions promote cloud cover that caps afternoon heating and aligns with post-heatwave moderation after early-month records near 36.9°C driven by Typhoon Dolphin. The market’s near-certain positioning on 32°C reflects real-time observational data and model consensus, with traders recognizing limited upside potential. A shift toward clearer skies or delayed convection could push readings to 33°C or higher, while heavier or earlier rainfall might suppress the peak below this threshold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月17日香港最高溫度?
32°C 99.7%
33°C <1%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
$147,255 交易量
$147,255 交易量
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 99.7%
33°C <1%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
$147,255 交易量
$147,255 交易量
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and aligned models indicate a daily maximum near 32°C for August 17, 2026, consistent with typical August climatology of 31–32°C highs amid high humidity, scattered showers, and afternoon thunderstorms. These conditions promote cloud cover that caps afternoon heating and aligns with post-heatwave moderation after early-month records near 36.9°C driven by Typhoon Dolphin. The market’s near-certain positioning on 32°C reflects real-time observational data and model consensus, with traders recognizing limited upside potential. A shift toward clearer skies or delayed convection could push readings to 33°C or higher, while heavier or earlier rainfall might suppress the peak below this threshold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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