Ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and German Weather Service (DWD) indicate partly cloudy skies and possible thundery showers over Munich on August 17, limiting daytime solar heating and capping the maximum near 22–23 °C. Model consensus centers on modest insolation due to cloud build-up timing and coverage, with typical 1–2 °C spread across runs that directly supports the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. Historical August maxima averaging near 23 °C add context, while any clearer breaks could push readings slightly higher and sustained showers could hold them near 21 °C. Updated model guidance and official DWD briefings expected through the evening of August 16 remain the key near-term catalysts for shifts in implied probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月17日慕尼黑最高溫度？
8月17日慕尼黑最高溫度？
23°C 41%
22°C 30%
21°C 14%
24°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-17
20°C or below
6%
21°C
14%
22°C
30%
23°C
41%
24°C
13%
25°C
3%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
23°C 41%
22°C 30%
21°C 14%
24°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-17
20°C or below
$1,221 交易量
6%
21°C
$1,758 交易量
14%
22°C
$538 交易量
30%
23°C
$1,442 交易量
41%
24°C
$2,062 交易量
13%
25°C
$586 交易量
3%
26°C
$346 交易量
1%
27°C
$156 交易量
<1%
28°C
$281 交易量
<1%
29°C
$164 交易量
<1%
30°C or higher
$164 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and German Weather Service (DWD) indicate partly cloudy skies and possible thundery showers over Munich on August 17, limiting daytime solar heating and capping the maximum near 22–23 °C. Model consensus centers on modest insolation due to cloud build-up timing and coverage, with typical 1–2 °C spread across runs that directly supports the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. Historical August maxima averaging near 23 °C add context, while any clearer breaks could push readings slightly higher and sustained showers could hold them near 21 °C. Updated model guidance and official DWD briefings expected through the evening of August 16 remain the key near-term catalysts for shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ET
交易量
$8,720結束日期
2026-08-17市場開放時間
Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and German Weather Service (DWD) indicate partly cloudy skies and possible thundery showers over Munich on August 17, limiting daytime solar heating and capping the maximum near 22–23 °C. Model consensus centers on modest insolation due to cloud build-up timing and coverage, with typical 1–2 °C spread across runs that directly supports the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. Historical August maxima averaging near 23 °C add context, while any clearer breaks could push readings slightly higher and sustained showers could hold them near 21 °C. Updated model guidance and official DWD briefings expected through the evening of August 16 remain the key near-term catalysts for shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$8,720結束日期
2026-08-17市場開放時間
Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ETEnsemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and German Weather Service (DWD) indicate partly cloudy skies and possible thundery showers over Munich on August 17, limiting daytime solar heating and capping the maximum near 22–23 °C. Model consensus centers on modest insolation due to cloud build-up timing and coverage, with typical 1–2 °C spread across runs that directly supports the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. Historical August maxima averaging near 23 °C add context, while any clearer breaks could push readings slightly higher and sustained showers could hold them near 21 °C. Updated model guidance and official DWD briefings expected through the evening of August 16 remain the key near-term catalysts for shifts in implied probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions