Trader consensus clusters tightly around 29–31°C for Istanbul’s August 18 maximum, underscoring forecast uncertainty at short lead times. Ensemble model runs show modest variability tied to the exact track and strength of a high-pressure ridge over the Balkans, which modulates subsidence warming and boundary-layer mixing. Sea surface temperatures in the Sea of Marmara, near long-term August averages, constrain additional heat advection from the south, while variable afternoon sea-breeze strength and potential thin cloud cover can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Upcoming Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF updates will refine these signals, as small changes in wind speed or timing of any frontal passage remain the key differentiators among the leading outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於伊斯坦布爾8月18日的最高溫度？
伊斯坦布爾8月18日的最高溫度？
30°C 31%
31°C 29%
29°C 27%
32°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-18
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
5%
28°C
7%
29°C
27%
30°C
31%
31°C
29%
32°C
8%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
<1%
30°C 31%
31°C 29%
29°C 27%
32°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-18
24°C or below
$177 交易量
<1%
25°C
$10 交易量
2%
26°C
$33 交易量
4%
27°C
$80 交易量
5%
28°C
$45 交易量
7%
29°C
$32 交易量
27%
30°C
$321 交易量
31%
31°C
$109 交易量
29%
32°C
$74 交易量
8%
33°C
$56 交易量
2%
34°C or higher
$46 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters tightly around 29–31°C for Istanbul’s August 18 maximum, underscoring forecast uncertainty at short lead times. Ensemble model runs show modest variability tied to the exact track and strength of a high-pressure ridge over the Balkans, which modulates subsidence warming and boundary-layer mixing. Sea surface temperatures in the Sea of Marmara, near long-term August averages, constrain additional heat advection from the south, while variable afternoon sea-breeze strength and potential thin cloud cover can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Upcoming Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF updates will refine these signals, as small changes in wind speed or timing of any frontal passage remain the key differentiators among the leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$983結束日期
2026-08-18市場開放時間
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters tightly around 29–31°C for Istanbul’s August 18 maximum, underscoring forecast uncertainty at short lead times. Ensemble model runs show modest variability tied to the exact track and strength of a high-pressure ridge over the Balkans, which modulates subsidence warming and boundary-layer mixing. Sea surface temperatures in the Sea of Marmara, near long-term August averages, constrain additional heat advection from the south, while variable afternoon sea-breeze strength and potential thin cloud cover can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Upcoming Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF updates will refine these signals, as small changes in wind speed or timing of any frontal passage remain the key differentiators among the leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$983結束日期
2026-08-18市場開放時間
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clusters tightly around 29–31°C for Istanbul’s August 18 maximum, underscoring forecast uncertainty at short lead times. Ensemble model runs show modest variability tied to the exact track and strength of a high-pressure ridge over the Balkans, which modulates subsidence warming and boundary-layer mixing. Sea surface temperatures in the Sea of Marmara, near long-term August averages, constrain additional heat advection from the south, while variable afternoon sea-breeze strength and potential thin cloud cover can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Upcoming Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF updates will refine these signals, as small changes in wind speed or timing of any frontal passage remain the key differentiators among the leading outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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