Current meteorological forecasts for Shenzhen on August 16, 2026, show strong consensus around a daytime maximum of 33°C, with secondary support near 34°C, reflecting typical late-summer subtropical monsoon conditions. Scattered thunderstorms and overcast skies expected from regional moisture and instability moderate peaks via reduced solar heating and evaporative cooling, aligning with historical August averages of 32°C highs and observed ranges of 85–93°F (29–34°C). Model agreement from sources including the UK Met Office and local agencies reinforces the 32–34°C bracket as the most probable outcome, while noting that any delay in convective development could allow brief spikes toward 35°C. Trader-implied probabilities closely track these consensus projections, with uncertainty remaining low given the proximity to resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月16日深圳最高溫度？
8月16日深圳最高溫度？
33°C 44%
34°C 25%
32°C 18%
31°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-16
27°C or below
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
7%
32°C
18%
33°C
44%
34°C
25%
35°C
4%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 44%
34°C 25%
32°C 18%
31°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-16
27°C or below
$644 交易量
1%
28°C
$836 交易量
<1%
29°C
$372 交易量
1%
30°C
$710 交易量
2%
31°C
$382 交易量
7%
32°C
$343 交易量
18%
33°C
$975 交易量
44%
34°C
$287 交易量
25%
35°C
$882 交易量
4%
36°C
$1,296 交易量
2%
37°C or higher
$1,429 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts for Shenzhen on August 16, 2026, show strong consensus around a daytime maximum of 33°C, with secondary support near 34°C, reflecting typical late-summer subtropical monsoon conditions. Scattered thunderstorms and overcast skies expected from regional moisture and instability moderate peaks via reduced solar heating and evaporative cooling, aligning with historical August averages of 32°C highs and observed ranges of 85–93°F (29–34°C). Model agreement from sources including the UK Met Office and local agencies reinforces the 32–34°C bracket as the most probable outcome, while noting that any delay in convective development could allow brief spikes toward 35°C. Trader-implied probabilities closely track these consensus projections, with uncertainty remaining low given the proximity to resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$8,156結束日期
2026-08-16市場開放時間
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts for Shenzhen on August 16, 2026, show strong consensus around a daytime maximum of 33°C, with secondary support near 34°C, reflecting typical late-summer subtropical monsoon conditions. Scattered thunderstorms and overcast skies expected from regional moisture and instability moderate peaks via reduced solar heating and evaporative cooling, aligning with historical August averages of 32°C highs and observed ranges of 85–93°F (29–34°C). Model agreement from sources including the UK Met Office and local agencies reinforces the 32–34°C bracket as the most probable outcome, while noting that any delay in convective development could allow brief spikes toward 35°C. Trader-implied probabilities closely track these consensus projections, with uncertainty remaining low given the proximity to resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$8,156結束日期
2026-08-16市場開放時間
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETCurrent meteorological forecasts for Shenzhen on August 16, 2026, show strong consensus around a daytime maximum of 33°C, with secondary support near 34°C, reflecting typical late-summer subtropical monsoon conditions. Scattered thunderstorms and overcast skies expected from regional moisture and instability moderate peaks via reduced solar heating and evaporative cooling, aligning with historical August averages of 32°C highs and observed ranges of 85–93°F (29–34°C). Model agreement from sources including the UK Met Office and local agencies reinforces the 32–34°C bracket as the most probable outcome, while noting that any delay in convective development could allow brief spikes toward 35°C. Trader-implied probabilities closely track these consensus projections, with uncertainty remaining low given the proximity to resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions