Recent global seismic monitoring from the USGS shows notable variability in M5.5+ activity, with a brief lull of no M5+ events around August 13-14 followed by aftershocks from the August 10 Colombia M7.4 and August 14 Indonesia M7.7 events that could elevate counts early in the August 17-23 window. Annual averages indicate roughly 1,300-2,000 M5-5.9 earthquakes yearly plus fewer larger ones, yielding typical weekly totals near 10-15 for 5.5+, though Poisson-like clustering produces wide swings. Current trader balance between ≤6 and >13 reflects this inherent short-term unpredictability, with resolution hinging on precise USGS catalog thresholds and any new moderate-to-large events in active zones like the Ring of Fire. Updated model runs or aftershock sequences over the next several days represent key variables that could shift the distribution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月17日至8月23日發生了多少次5.5級或以上的地震？
8月17日至8月23日發生了多少次5.5級或以上的地震？
≤6 24%
>13 22%
8 13%
10 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
≤6
24%
7
10%
8
13%
9
9%
10
10%
11
10%
12
8%
13
5%
>13
22%
≤6 24%
>13 22%
8 13%
10 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
≤6
$1,362 交易量
24%
7
$134 交易量
10%
8
$209 交易量
13%
9
$144 交易量
9%
10
$189 交易量
10%
11
$134 交易量
10%
12
$145 交易量
8%
13
$169 交易量
5%
>13
$556 交易量
22%
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 17, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and August 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude, or 48 hours if the prior paragraph applies. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Recent global seismic monitoring from the USGS shows notable variability in M5.5+ activity, with a brief lull of no M5+ events around August 13-14 followed by aftershocks from the August 10 Colombia M7.4 and August 14 Indonesia M7.7 events that could elevate counts early in the August 17-23 window. Annual averages indicate roughly 1,300-2,000 M5-5.9 earthquakes yearly plus fewer larger ones, yielding typical weekly totals near 10-15 for 5.5+, though Poisson-like clustering produces wide swings. Current trader balance between ≤6 and >13 reflects this inherent short-term unpredictability, with resolution hinging on precise USGS catalog thresholds and any new moderate-to-large events in active zones like the Ring of Fire. Updated model runs or aftershock sequences over the next several days represent key variables that could shift the distribution.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 17, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and August 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude, or 48 hours if the prior paragraph applies. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude, or 48 hours if the prior paragraph applies. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
市場開放時間： Aug 14, 2026, 2:27 PM ET
交易量
$3,043結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 14, 2026, 2:27 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 17, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and August 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude, or 48 hours if the prior paragraph applies. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Recent global seismic monitoring from the USGS shows notable variability in M5.5+ activity, with a brief lull of no M5+ events around August 13-14 followed by aftershocks from the August 10 Colombia M7.4 and August 14 Indonesia M7.7 events that could elevate counts early in the August 17-23 window. Annual averages indicate roughly 1,300-2,000 M5-5.9 earthquakes yearly plus fewer larger ones, yielding typical weekly totals near 10-15 for 5.5+, though Poisson-like clustering produces wide swings. Current trader balance between ≤6 and >13 reflects this inherent short-term unpredictability, with resolution hinging on precise USGS catalog thresholds and any new moderate-to-large events in active zones like the Ring of Fire. Updated model runs or aftershock sequences over the next several days represent key variables that could shift the distribution.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 17, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and August 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude, or 48 hours if the prior paragraph applies. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude, or 48 hours if the prior paragraph applies. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
交易量
$3,043結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 14, 2026, 2:27 PM ETRecent global seismic monitoring from the USGS shows notable variability in M5.5+ activity, with a brief lull of no M5+ events around August 13-14 followed by aftershocks from the August 10 Colombia M7.4 and August 14 Indonesia M7.7 events that could elevate counts early in the August 17-23 window. Annual averages indicate roughly 1,300-2,000 M5-5.9 earthquakes yearly plus fewer larger ones, yielding typical weekly totals near 10-15 for 5.5+, though Poisson-like clustering produces wide swings. Current trader balance between ≤6 and >13 reflects this inherent short-term unpredictability, with resolution hinging on precise USGS catalog thresholds and any new moderate-to-large events in active zones like the Ring of Fire. Updated model runs or aftershock sequences over the next several days represent key variables that could shift the distribution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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