Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a maximum temperature near 32°C in Busan on August 15 under cloudy skies with a 30% chance of precipitation, while broader model guidance and seasonal patterns driven by the North Pacific High point to daily highs of 30–32°C amid elevated humidity and tropical night conditions. These factors position the market's leading outcomes at 30–32°C by reflecting the expected balance between warm advection and potential afternoon cloud cover or showers that could cap peaks below historical August extremes. Short-term variability in steering patterns and localized sea breezes introduces modest uncertainty, with updated model runs and official briefings likely to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.