Recent forecasts from regional models highlight scattered showers and thunderstorms expected over Shanghai on August 13 amid ongoing East Asian summer monsoon conditions, positioning 28–29°C as the leading outcomes with implied probabilities near 70% combined. High humidity, variable cloud cover, and convective activity are limiting surface heating and keeping maxima near or slightly below the long-term August average of 31–32°C. Official guidance from monitoring agencies shows modest cooling relative to earlier heat-wave patterns, with any breaks in cloud or reduced precipitation potentially allowing brief spikes to 30°C or higher. Updated model runs through the next 24 hours will refine timing and intensity ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月13日上海最高溫度？
8月13日上海最高溫度？
29°C 41%
28°C 31%
30°C 14%
27°C 7%
最新
$21,214 交易量
最新
$21,214 交易量
2026-08-13
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
7%
28°C
31%
29°C
41%
30°C
14%
31°C
4%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 41%
28°C 31%
30°C 14%
27°C 7%
最新
$21,214 交易量
最新
$21,214 交易量
2026-08-13
24°C or below
$584 交易量
<1%
25°C
$463 交易量
<1%
26°C
$410 交易量
1%
27°C
$1,480 交易量
7%
28°C
$4,163 交易量
31%
29°C
$4,153 交易量
41%
30°C
$5,400 交易量
14%
31°C
$2,539 交易量
4%
32°C
$1,189 交易量
2%
33°C
$361 交易量
1%
34°C or higher
$474 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from regional models highlight scattered showers and thunderstorms expected over Shanghai on August 13 amid ongoing East Asian summer monsoon conditions, positioning 28–29°C as the leading outcomes with implied probabilities near 70% combined. High humidity, variable cloud cover, and convective activity are limiting surface heating and keeping maxima near or slightly below the long-term August average of 31–32°C. Official guidance from monitoring agencies shows modest cooling relative to earlier heat-wave patterns, with any breaks in cloud or reduced precipitation potentially allowing brief spikes to 30°C or higher. Updated model runs through the next 24 hours will refine timing and intensity ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$21,214結束日期
2026-08-13市場開放時間
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from regional models highlight scattered showers and thunderstorms expected over Shanghai on August 13 amid ongoing East Asian summer monsoon conditions, positioning 28–29°C as the leading outcomes with implied probabilities near 70% combined. High humidity, variable cloud cover, and convective activity are limiting surface heating and keeping maxima near or slightly below the long-term August average of 31–32°C. Official guidance from monitoring agencies shows modest cooling relative to earlier heat-wave patterns, with any breaks in cloud or reduced precipitation potentially allowing brief spikes to 30°C or higher. Updated model runs through the next 24 hours will refine timing and intensity ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$21,214結束日期
2026-08-13市場開放時間
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent forecasts from regional models highlight scattered showers and thunderstorms expected over Shanghai on August 13 amid ongoing East Asian summer monsoon conditions, positioning 28–29°C as the leading outcomes with implied probabilities near 70% combined. High humidity, variable cloud cover, and convective activity are limiting surface heating and keeping maxima near or slightly below the long-term August average of 31–32°C. Official guidance from monitoring agencies shows modest cooling relative to earlier heat-wave patterns, with any breaks in cloud or reduced precipitation potentially allowing brief spikes to 30°C or higher. Updated model runs through the next 24 hours will refine timing and intensity ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions