Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies and models, including those referenced in regional outlooks, indicate a high near 26–28°C for Jinan on August 13 amid light rain, overcast skies, and northeasterly flow. This positions the daily maximum comfortably above the 26°C threshold in line with August climatology of 29–32°C, driving the market-implied 94.5% probability for 26°C or higher. Official guidance notes typical summer conditions with modest diurnal ranges and precipitation limiting extreme heat. Trader consensus reflects this model agreement, though slight downward revisions in guidance could arise from heavier rainfall or altered steering patterns that suppress daytime warming. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration or international ensembles over the next 12–24 hours represent the key near-term data points that could influence positioning.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月13日濟南氣溫最高？
8月13日濟南氣溫最高？
26°C or higher 95%
25°C 3%
20°C <1%
24°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-08-13
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C or higher
95%
26°C or higher 95%
25°C 3%
20°C <1%
24°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-08-13
16°C or below
$110 交易量
<1%
17°C
$110 交易量
<1%
18°C
$110 交易量
<1%
19°C
$260 交易量
<1%
20°C
$403 交易量
1%
21°C
$132 交易量
<1%
22°C
$132 交易量
<1%
23°C
$382 交易量
1%
24°C
$382 交易量
1%
25°C
$523 交易量
3%
26°C or higher
$858 交易量
95%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies and models, including those referenced in regional outlooks, indicate a high near 26–28°C for Jinan on August 13 amid light rain, overcast skies, and northeasterly flow. This positions the daily maximum comfortably above the 26°C threshold in line with August climatology of 29–32°C, driving the market-implied 94.5% probability for 26°C or higher. Official guidance notes typical summer conditions with modest diurnal ranges and precipitation limiting extreme heat. Trader consensus reflects this model agreement, though slight downward revisions in guidance could arise from heavier rainfall or altered steering patterns that suppress daytime warming. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration or international ensembles over the next 12–24 hours represent the key near-term data points that could influence positioning.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
交易量
$3,402結束日期
2026-08-13市場開放時間
Aug 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies and models, including those referenced in regional outlooks, indicate a high near 26–28°C for Jinan on August 13 amid light rain, overcast skies, and northeasterly flow. This positions the daily maximum comfortably above the 26°C threshold in line with August climatology of 29–32°C, driving the market-implied 94.5% probability for 26°C or higher. Official guidance notes typical summer conditions with modest diurnal ranges and precipitation limiting extreme heat. Trader consensus reflects this model agreement, though slight downward revisions in guidance could arise from heavier rainfall or altered steering patterns that suppress daytime warming. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration or international ensembles over the next 12–24 hours represent the key near-term data points that could influence positioning.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,402結束日期
2026-08-13市場開放時間
Aug 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETRecent forecasts from meteorological agencies and models, including those referenced in regional outlooks, indicate a high near 26–28°C for Jinan on August 13 amid light rain, overcast skies, and northeasterly flow. This positions the daily maximum comfortably above the 26°C threshold in line with August climatology of 29–32°C, driving the market-implied 94.5% probability for 26°C or higher. Official guidance notes typical summer conditions with modest diurnal ranges and precipitation limiting extreme heat. Trader consensus reflects this model agreement, though slight downward revisions in guidance could arise from heavier rainfall or altered steering patterns that suppress daytime warming. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration or international ensembles over the next 12–24 hours represent the key near-term data points that could influence positioning.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions