Recent short-range ensemble guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and global models shows Shanghai's overnight minimum on August 14 likely stabilizing near 27°C under persistent subtropical high pressure. High humidity, widespread cloud cover, and light convective activity limit radiational cooling, keeping lows above the long-term mid-August climatological average of 25–26°C. Minor spread among models centers outcomes between 26–27°C, with the current market-implied probability heavily favoring 27°C at 66.5%. The next 24–48 hours of updated runs and observational data from regional stations will further refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月14日上海最低溫度？
8月14日上海最低溫度？
27°C 51%
26°C 22%
28°C 7%
25°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-14
20°C或以下
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
5%
25°C
6%
26°C
22%
27°C
51%
28°C
7%
29°C
2%
30°C或以上
<1%
27°C 51%
26°C 22%
28°C 7%
25°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-14
20°C或以下
$147 交易量
<1%
21°C
$137 交易量
<1%
22°C
$127 交易量
1%
23°C
$184 交易量
4%
24°C
$121 交易量
5%
25°C
$167 交易量
6%
26°C
$955 交易量
22%
27°C
$1,207 交易量
51%
28°C
$152 交易量
7%
29°C
$124 交易量
2%
30°C或以上
$155 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range ensemble guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and global models shows Shanghai's overnight minimum on August 14 likely stabilizing near 27°C under persistent subtropical high pressure. High humidity, widespread cloud cover, and light convective activity limit radiational cooling, keeping lows above the long-term mid-August climatological average of 25–26°C. Minor spread among models centers outcomes between 26–27°C, with the current market-implied probability heavily favoring 27°C at 66.5%. The next 24–48 hours of updated runs and observational data from regional stations will further refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$3,475結束日期
2026-08-14市場開放時間
Aug 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range ensemble guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and global models shows Shanghai's overnight minimum on August 14 likely stabilizing near 27°C under persistent subtropical high pressure. High humidity, widespread cloud cover, and light convective activity limit radiational cooling, keeping lows above the long-term mid-August climatological average of 25–26°C. Minor spread among models centers outcomes between 26–27°C, with the current market-implied probability heavily favoring 27°C at 66.5%. The next 24–48 hours of updated runs and observational data from regional stations will further refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,475結束日期
2026-08-14市場開放時間
Aug 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent short-range ensemble guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and global models shows Shanghai's overnight minimum on August 14 likely stabilizing near 27°C under persistent subtropical high pressure. High humidity, widespread cloud cover, and light convective activity limit radiational cooling, keeping lows above the long-term mid-August climatological average of 25–26°C. Minor spread among models centers outcomes between 26–27°C, with the current market-implied probability heavily favoring 27°C at 66.5%. The next 24–48 hours of updated runs and observational data from regional stations will further refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions