Current forecasts from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and national meteorological services indicate a stable high-pressure system over northern Italy, supporting maximum temperatures of 34–36°C in Milan on August 14 amid typical Po Valley summer conditions of clear skies, light winds, and minimal cloud cover. These align with historical August baselines of 28–32°C while reflecting recent model runs showing limited diurnal cooling and no significant frontal intrusions. Market-implied probabilities favor 34°C and 35°C as the consensus reflects tight clustering in ensemble guidance and low uncertainty in short-range predictions, though minor shifts in observed maxima could arise from localized urban heat effects or slight forecast revisions before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月14日米蘭的最高溫度?
34°C 44%
35°C 25%
33°C 11%
32°C 6%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
6%
33°C
11%
34°C
44%
35°C
25%
36°C
5%
37°C
3%
38°C
1%
39°C或更高
<1%
34°C 44%
35°C 25%
33°C 11%
32°C 6%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
6%
33°C
11%
34°C
44%
35°C
25%
36°C
5%
37°C
3%
38°C
1%
39°C或更高
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and national meteorological services indicate a stable high-pressure system over northern Italy, supporting maximum temperatures of 34–36°C in Milan on August 14 amid typical Po Valley summer conditions of clear skies, light winds, and minimal cloud cover. These align with historical August baselines of 28–32°C while reflecting recent model runs showing limited diurnal cooling and no significant frontal intrusions. Market-implied probabilities favor 34°C and 35°C as the consensus reflects tight clustering in ensemble guidance and low uncertainty in short-range predictions, though minor shifts in observed maxima could arise from localized urban heat effects or slight forecast revisions before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions