Short-term meteorological models from agencies tracking East Asian monsoon patterns currently favor peak temperatures of 35–36°C in Chongqing on August 12, driven by strong solar insolation under mostly clear skies in the city’s subtropical basin climate, where surrounding mountains trap heat and limit ventilation. High humidity and urban heat-island effects amplify daytime maxima relative to regional averages, while any scattered afternoon convection or light northerly flow could shave 1°C off peaks. Trader consensus clusters on these outcomes because ensemble forecasts show limited spread for the next 48 hours, with resolution hinging on official China Meteorological Administration station readings; updated model runs or unexpected cloud development remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities toward 37°C or 34°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月12日重慶氣溫最高？
8月12日重慶氣溫最高？
36°C 53%
35°C 37%
37°C 18%
34°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-12
31°C or below
1%
32°C
4%
33°C
3%
34°C
13%
35°C
37%
36°C
42%
37°C
18%
38°C
13%
39°C
10%
40°C
3%
41°C or higher
8%
36°C 53%
35°C 37%
37°C 18%
34°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-12
31°C or below
$315 交易量
1%
32°C
$5 交易量
4%
33°C
$0 交易量
3%
34°C
$0 交易量
13%
35°C
$52 交易量
37%
36°C
$42 交易量
42%
37°C
$0 交易量
18%
38°C
$15 交易量
13%
39°C
$15 交易量
10%
40°C
$27 交易量
3%
41°C or higher
$12 交易量
8%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term meteorological models from agencies tracking East Asian monsoon patterns currently favor peak temperatures of 35–36°C in Chongqing on August 12, driven by strong solar insolation under mostly clear skies in the city’s subtropical basin climate, where surrounding mountains trap heat and limit ventilation. High humidity and urban heat-island effects amplify daytime maxima relative to regional averages, while any scattered afternoon convection or light northerly flow could shave 1°C off peaks. Trader consensus clusters on these outcomes because ensemble forecasts show limited spread for the next 48 hours, with resolution hinging on official China Meteorological Administration station readings; updated model runs or unexpected cloud development remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities toward 37°C or 34°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$482結束日期
2026-08-12市場開放時間
Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term meteorological models from agencies tracking East Asian monsoon patterns currently favor peak temperatures of 35–36°C in Chongqing on August 12, driven by strong solar insolation under mostly clear skies in the city’s subtropical basin climate, where surrounding mountains trap heat and limit ventilation. High humidity and urban heat-island effects amplify daytime maxima relative to regional averages, while any scattered afternoon convection or light northerly flow could shave 1°C off peaks. Trader consensus clusters on these outcomes because ensemble forecasts show limited spread for the next 48 hours, with resolution hinging on official China Meteorological Administration station readings; updated model runs or unexpected cloud development remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities toward 37°C or 34°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$482結束日期
2026-08-12市場開放時間
Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ETShort-term meteorological models from agencies tracking East Asian monsoon patterns currently favor peak temperatures of 35–36°C in Chongqing on August 12, driven by strong solar insolation under mostly clear skies in the city’s subtropical basin climate, where surrounding mountains trap heat and limit ventilation. High humidity and urban heat-island effects amplify daytime maxima relative to regional averages, while any scattered afternoon convection or light northerly flow could shave 1°C off peaks. Trader consensus clusters on these outcomes because ensemble forecasts show limited spread for the next 48 hours, with resolution hinging on official China Meteorological Administration station readings; updated model runs or unexpected cloud development remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities toward 37°C or 34°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions