Latest forecast guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble models indicates a daytime high in Chongqing near 34–36°C on August 10, with modest spread arising from variable cloud cover, humidity levels near 70%, and light steering winds typical of the subtropical monsoon regime. Chongqing’s enclosed basin topography and urban heat island effect amplify afternoon maxima, while scattered convection or thicker stratus could cap readings 1–2°C below guidance. Historical August averages hover around 33–34°C, so the tightly bunched market-implied odds around 34–36°C reflect genuine uncertainty in the final 24-hour model runs rather than a strong consensus. Updated CMA briefings and satellite observations before local noon on the 10th will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月10日重慶氣溫最高？
8月10日重慶氣溫最高？
35°C 31%
36°C 26%
34°C 23%
33°C 12%
最新
$19,758 交易量
最新
$19,758 交易量
2026-08-10
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
4%
32°C
8%
33°C
12%
34°C
23%
35°C
31%
36°C
26%
37°C
3%
38°C或以上
1%
35°C 31%
36°C 26%
34°C 23%
33°C 12%
最新
$19,758 交易量
最新
$19,758 交易量
2026-08-10
28°C or below
$371 交易量
<1%
29°C
$335 交易量
<1%
30°C
$823 交易量
<1%
31°C
$1,148 交易量
4%
32°C
$2,783 交易量
8%
33°C
$650 交易量
12%
34°C
$808 交易量
23%
35°C
$2,976 交易量
31%
36°C
$5,220 交易量
26%
37°C
$2,588 交易量
3%
38°C或以上
$2,056 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble models indicates a daytime high in Chongqing near 34–36°C on August 10, with modest spread arising from variable cloud cover, humidity levels near 70%, and light steering winds typical of the subtropical monsoon regime. Chongqing’s enclosed basin topography and urban heat island effect amplify afternoon maxima, while scattered convection or thicker stratus could cap readings 1–2°C below guidance. Historical August averages hover around 33–34°C, so the tightly bunched market-implied odds around 34–36°C reflect genuine uncertainty in the final 24-hour model runs rather than a strong consensus. Updated CMA briefings and satellite observations before local noon on the 10th will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$19,758結束日期
2026-08-10市場開放時間
Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble models indicates a daytime high in Chongqing near 34–36°C on August 10, with modest spread arising from variable cloud cover, humidity levels near 70%, and light steering winds typical of the subtropical monsoon regime. Chongqing’s enclosed basin topography and urban heat island effect amplify afternoon maxima, while scattered convection or thicker stratus could cap readings 1–2°C below guidance. Historical August averages hover around 33–34°C, so the tightly bunched market-implied odds around 34–36°C reflect genuine uncertainty in the final 24-hour model runs rather than a strong consensus. Updated CMA briefings and satellite observations before local noon on the 10th will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$19,758結束日期
2026-08-10市場開放時間
Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ETLatest forecast guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble models indicates a daytime high in Chongqing near 34–36°C on August 10, with modest spread arising from variable cloud cover, humidity levels near 70%, and light steering winds typical of the subtropical monsoon regime. Chongqing’s enclosed basin topography and urban heat island effect amplify afternoon maxima, while scattered convection or thicker stratus could cap readings 1–2°C below guidance. Historical August averages hover around 33–34°C, so the tightly bunched market-implied odds around 34–36°C reflect genuine uncertainty in the final 24-hour model runs rather than a strong consensus. Updated CMA briefings and satellite observations before local noon on the 10th will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions