Hong Kong's subtropical climate produces typical August overnight lows near 27°C, with official records showing rare dips below that threshold outside of unusual synoptic patterns. Persistent warm, humid conditions driven by the prevailing monsoon trough and lack of significant frontal passages or tropical cyclone influence support trader consensus around a daily minimum of 28°C. Recent observational data from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm similar minimums in the preceding days, aligning with climatological normals and model guidance showing no rapid cooling expected overnight. A stronger-than-forecast easterly surge or localized heavy rainfall could briefly suppress temperatures toward 27°C, though such shifts remain low-probability events given current steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月8日香港最低溫度?
28°C 98%
27°C 1.4%
25°C <1%
24°C <1%
$88,408 交易量
$88,408 交易量
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
98%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C或以上
<1%
28°C 98%
27°C 1.4%
25°C <1%
24°C <1%
$88,408 交易量
$88,408 交易量
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
98%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong's subtropical climate produces typical August overnight lows near 27°C, with official records showing rare dips below that threshold outside of unusual synoptic patterns. Persistent warm, humid conditions driven by the prevailing monsoon trough and lack of significant frontal passages or tropical cyclone influence support trader consensus around a daily minimum of 28°C. Recent observational data from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm similar minimums in the preceding days, aligning with climatological normals and model guidance showing no rapid cooling expected overnight. A stronger-than-forecast easterly surge or localized heavy rainfall could briefly suppress temperatures toward 27°C, though such shifts remain low-probability events given current steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions