**Current short-term forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory point to maximum temperatures of 32–33°C on August 7 amid typical subtropical summer conditions, with variable cloud cover, possible showers, and moderate northeasterly winds limiting extreme heating.** Seasonal guidance for August–October 2026 indicates normal to above-normal temperatures overall, consistent with long-term warming trends, yet day-to-day peaks hinge on sunshine duration and convective activity. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 33–34°C because model consensus and historical August averages cluster there, while the modest odds on 35°C or higher reflect the realistic potential for clearer skies to boost readings by 1–2°C. Lower outcomes remain possible if heavier rain develops. Updated official forecasts and observational data in the coming days will likely refine these market-implied odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月7日香港最高溫度？
8月7日香港最高溫度？
34°C 35%
33°C 31%
35°C 17%
36°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-07
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
9%
33°C
31%
34°C
35%
35°C
17%
36°C
10%
37°C
3%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
<1%
34°C 35%
33°C 31%
35°C 17%
36°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-07
29°C or below
$29 交易量
<1%
30°C
$155 交易量
1%
31°C
$249 交易量
3%
32°C
$247 交易量
9%
33°C
$560 交易量
31%
34°C
$337 交易量
35%
35°C
$649 交易量
17%
36°C
$367 交易量
10%
37°C
$466 交易量
3%
38°C
$139 交易量
1%
39°C or higher
$1,137 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Current short-term forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory point to maximum temperatures of 32–33°C on August 7 amid typical subtropical summer conditions, with variable cloud cover, possible showers, and moderate northeasterly winds limiting extreme heating.**
Seasonal guidance for August–October 2026 indicates normal to above-normal temperatures overall, consistent with long-term warming trends, yet day-to-day peaks hinge on sunshine duration and convective activity. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 33–34°C because model consensus and historical August averages cluster there, while the modest odds on 35°C or higher reflect the realistic potential for clearer skies to boost readings by 1–2°C. Lower outcomes remain possible if heavier rain develops. Updated official forecasts and observational data in the coming days will likely refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$4,334結束日期
2026-08-07市場開放時間
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Current short-term forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory point to maximum temperatures of 32–33°C on August 7 amid typical subtropical summer conditions, with variable cloud cover, possible showers, and moderate northeasterly winds limiting extreme heating.**
Seasonal guidance for August–October 2026 indicates normal to above-normal temperatures overall, consistent with long-term warming trends, yet day-to-day peaks hinge on sunshine duration and convective activity. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 33–34°C because model consensus and historical August averages cluster there, while the modest odds on 35°C or higher reflect the realistic potential for clearer skies to boost readings by 1–2°C. Lower outcomes remain possible if heavier rain develops. Updated official forecasts and observational data in the coming days will likely refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$4,334結束日期
2026-08-07市場開放時間
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current short-term forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory point to maximum temperatures of 32–33°C on August 7 amid typical subtropical summer conditions, with variable cloud cover, possible showers, and moderate northeasterly winds limiting extreme heating.** Seasonal guidance for August–October 2026 indicates normal to above-normal temperatures overall, consistent with long-term warming trends, yet day-to-day peaks hinge on sunshine duration and convective activity. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 33–34°C because model consensus and historical August averages cluster there, while the modest odds on 35°C or higher reflect the realistic potential for clearer skies to boost readings by 1–2°C. Lower outcomes remain possible if heavier rain develops. Updated official forecasts and observational data in the coming days will likely refine these market-implied odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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