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icon for 8月5日臺北氣溫最高?

8月5日臺北氣溫最高?

icon for 8月5日臺北氣溫最高?

8月5日臺北氣溫最高?

37°C 100.0%

29°C or below <1%

30°C <1%

31°C <1%

Polymarket

$62,073 交易量

37°C 100.0%

29°C or below <1%

30°C <1%

31°C <1%

Polymarket

$62,073 交易量

29°C or below

$868 交易量

<1%

30°C

$462 交易量

<1%

31°C

$2,656 交易量

<1%

32°C

$2,630 交易量

<1%

33°C

$3,756 交易量

<1%

34°C

$4,533 交易量

<1%

35°C

$8,468 交易量

<1%

36°C

$10,673 交易量

<1%

37°C

$9,690 交易量

100%

38°C

$8,202 交易量

<1%

39°C or higher

$10,135 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have priced the 37°C outcome at essentially 100% implied probability for Taipei's peak temperature on August 5, 2026, driven by the latest Central Weather Administration observations and model consensus showing urban heat-island amplification pushing the official station reading to that threshold under partly cloudy, low-precipitation conditions. Subtropical summer humidity and typical August baselines near 32–33°C provide context, yet localized factors including reduced cloud cover and southerly flow have supported the upside from recent analogs like the 36°C reading on August 1. Official forecasts from CWA and AccuWeather align closely on daytime maxima in the mid-30s, with negligible divergence across ensembles at this late stage. Only an unexpected late-day measurement revision or station-specific anomaly could realistically alter resolution, though current data make such shifts highly improbable.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$62,073
結束日期
2026-08-05
市場開放時間
Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have priced the 37°C outcome at essentially 100% implied probability for Taipei's peak temperature on August 5, 2026, driven by the latest Central Weather Administration observations and model consensus showing urban heat-island amplification pushing the official station reading to that threshold under partly cloudy, low-precipitation conditions. Subtropical summer humidity and typical August baselines near 32–33°C provide context, yet localized factors including reduced cloud cover and southerly flow have supported the upside from recent analogs like the 36°C reading on August 1. Official forecasts from CWA and AccuWeather align closely on daytime maxima in the mid-30s, with negligible divergence across ensembles at this late stage. Only an unexpected late-day measurement revision or station-specific anomaly could realistically alter resolution, though current data make such shifts highly improbable.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$62,073
結束日期
2026-08-05
市場開放時間
Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"8月5日臺北氣溫最高?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "37°C" at 100%, followed by "29°C or below" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "8月5日臺北氣溫最高?" has generated $62.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 3, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "8月5日臺北氣溫最高?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "8月5日臺北氣溫最高?" is "37°C" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "29°C or below" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "8月5日臺北氣溫最高?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.