Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and regional models point to a peak temperature near 86–89°F in Seattle on August 5, 2026, driven by persistent high-pressure ridging, clear skies, and strong solar insolation under a warmer-than-average summer pattern. NOAA outlooks have indicated elevated chances of above-normal temperatures across the Pacific Northwest through August, with early-month conditions favoring maximum daytime heating in the urban heat island and reduced marine cooling. Trader consensus aligns with these model runs showing limited cloud cover or onshore flow that could suppress readings below 84°F or push them into the low 90s, while historical August baselines around 76–80°F underscore the current anomaly. Updated National Weather Service guidance and real-time observations will refine resolution probabilities as the day progresses.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月5日西雅圖的最高溫度?
86-87°F 40%
88-89°F 25%
84-85°F 19%
82-83°F 8.3%
$35,296 交易量
$35,296 交易量
79°F or below
2%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
8%
84-85°F
19%
86-87°F
40%
88-89°F
25%
90-91°F
6%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
86-87°F 40%
88-89°F 25%
84-85°F 19%
82-83°F 8.3%
$35,296 交易量
$35,296 交易量
79°F or below
2%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
8%
84-85°F
19%
86-87°F
40%
88-89°F
25%
90-91°F
6%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and regional models point to a peak temperature near 86–89°F in Seattle on August 5, 2026, driven by persistent high-pressure ridging, clear skies, and strong solar insolation under a warmer-than-average summer pattern. NOAA outlooks have indicated elevated chances of above-normal temperatures across the Pacific Northwest through August, with early-month conditions favoring maximum daytime heating in the urban heat island and reduced marine cooling. Trader consensus aligns with these model runs showing limited cloud cover or onshore flow that could suppress readings below 84°F or push them into the low 90s, while historical August baselines around 76–80°F underscore the current anomaly. Updated National Weather Service guidance and real-time observations will refine resolution probabilities as the day progresses.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions