Marine layer persistence and onshore flow from the Pacific are the dominant factors capping Los Angeles highs near 76–77°F today, aligning with National Weather Service model consensus for early August coastal moderation. This setup limits daytime heating through persistent low clouds and sea breezes, producing the market’s 63.5% implied probability for the 76–77°F bin and secondary support in the 74–75°F range. Recent observations confirm suppressed peaks below seasonal averages of 84–85°F, with no strong offshore warming signals in latest runs. Traders weigh these verified conditions against potential afternoon clearing that could push readings into the 78–79°F tier at 14% odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於洛杉磯8月5日的最高溫度？
洛杉磯8月5日的最高溫度？
76-77°F 64%
74-75°F 20%
78-79°F 14%
80-81°F 1.7%
最新
$26,148 交易量
最新
$26,148 交易量
2026-08-05
67°F或以下
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
20%
76-77°F
64%
78-79°F
14%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F或更高
<1%
76-77°F 64%
74-75°F 20%
78-79°F 14%
80-81°F 1.7%
最新
$26,148 交易量
最新
$26,148 交易量
2026-08-05
67°F或以下
$598 交易量
<1%
68-69°F
$391 交易量
<1%
70-71°F
$781 交易量
1%
72-73°F
$1,201 交易量
1%
74-75°F
$5,561 交易量
20%
76-77°F
$4,051 交易量
64%
78-79°F
$3,839 交易量
14%
80-81°F
$752 交易量
2%
82-83°F
$601 交易量
<1%
84-85°F
$3,311 交易量
<1%
86°F或更高
$5,062 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Marine layer persistence and onshore flow from the Pacific are the dominant factors capping Los Angeles highs near 76–77°F today, aligning with National Weather Service model consensus for early August coastal moderation. This setup limits daytime heating through persistent low clouds and sea breezes, producing the market’s 63.5% implied probability for the 76–77°F bin and secondary support in the 74–75°F range. Recent observations confirm suppressed peaks below seasonal averages of 84–85°F, with no strong offshore warming signals in latest runs. Traders weigh these verified conditions against potential afternoon clearing that could push readings into the 78–79°F tier at 14% odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$26,148結束日期
2026-08-05市場開放時間
Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Marine layer persistence and onshore flow from the Pacific are the dominant factors capping Los Angeles highs near 76–77°F today, aligning with National Weather Service model consensus for early August coastal moderation. This setup limits daytime heating through persistent low clouds and sea breezes, producing the market’s 63.5% implied probability for the 76–77°F bin and secondary support in the 74–75°F range. Recent observations confirm suppressed peaks below seasonal averages of 84–85°F, with no strong offshore warming signals in latest runs. Traders weigh these verified conditions against potential afternoon clearing that could push readings into the 78–79°F tier at 14% odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$26,148結束日期
2026-08-05市場開放時間
Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ETMarine layer persistence and onshore flow from the Pacific are the dominant factors capping Los Angeles highs near 76–77°F today, aligning with National Weather Service model consensus for early August coastal moderation. This setup limits daytime heating through persistent low clouds and sea breezes, producing the market’s 63.5% implied probability for the 76–77°F bin and secondary support in the 74–75°F range. Recent observations confirm suppressed peaks below seasonal averages of 84–85°F, with no strong offshore warming signals in latest runs. Traders weigh these verified conditions against potential afternoon clearing that could push readings into the 78–79°F tier at 14% odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions