Southwest monsoon conditions, reinforced by nearby low-pressure systems and tropical cyclone activity, dominate Manila's weather on August 7, 2026, producing persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and limited solar insolation that caps daytime heating. PAGASA forecasts and regional model consensus consistently project maximum temperatures near 28–29°C at official monitoring stations, aligning with typical August monsoon baselines for Metro Manila where relative humidity exceeds 80% and winds favor moisture advection. Traders assign 99.6% implied probability to a 29°C high because these dynamics have held in recent days, with observed maxima of 27–28°C under similar patterns. A sudden weakening of the monsoon flow or prolonged breaks in cloud cover could allow brief radiative heating toward 30°C, while heavier convective rainfall might suppress readings below the threshold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月7日馬尼拉的最高溫度?
29°C 100.0%
24°C或以下 <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$28,917 交易量
$28,917 交易量
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
100%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C或更高
<1%
29°C 100.0%
24°C或以下 <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$28,917 交易量
$28,917 交易量
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
100%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C或更高
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 5, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Southwest monsoon conditions, reinforced by nearby low-pressure systems and tropical cyclone activity, dominate Manila's weather on August 7, 2026, producing persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and limited solar insolation that caps daytime heating. PAGASA forecasts and regional model consensus consistently project maximum temperatures near 28–29°C at official monitoring stations, aligning with typical August monsoon baselines for Metro Manila where relative humidity exceeds 80% and winds favor moisture advection. Traders assign 99.6% implied probability to a 29°C high because these dynamics have held in recent days, with observed maxima of 27–28°C under similar patterns. A sudden weakening of the monsoon flow or prolonged breaks in cloud cover could allow brief radiative heating toward 30°C, while heavier convective rainfall might suppress readings below the threshold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

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警惕外部連結哦。
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