Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models show notable spread in Qingdao's projected maximum temperature for August 9, keeping the 32–34°C outcomes tightly clustered as the market consensus. Coastal influences including potential sea-breeze moderation, variable monsoon moisture, and upper-level ridge positioning create the main uncertainty, with small timing shifts in any frontal passage or cloud cover able to swing the daily high by 1–2°C. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and international runs will update frequently through the next 48 hours, providing the key data points that traders are monitoring to refine positions ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月9日青島氣溫最高?
33°C 32%
32°C 22%
34°C 22%
31°C 16%
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
3%
31°C
16%
32°C
22%
33°C
32%
34°C
22%
35°C
13%
36°C
7%
37°C或更高
5%
33°C 32%
32°C 22%
34°C 22%
31°C 16%
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
3%
31°C
16%
32°C
22%
33°C
32%
34°C
22%
35°C
13%
36°C
7%
37°C或更高
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 7, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models show notable spread in Qingdao's projected maximum temperature for August 9, keeping the 32–34°C outcomes tightly clustered as the market consensus. Coastal influences including potential sea-breeze moderation, variable monsoon moisture, and upper-level ridge positioning create the main uncertainty, with small timing shifts in any frontal passage or cloud cover able to swing the daily high by 1–2°C. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and international runs will update frequently through the next 48 hours, providing the key data points that traders are monitoring to refine positions ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions