Recent forecasts from meteorological services point to a daily maximum of 37–38°C in Guangzhou on August 9, driven by subsidence on the periphery of Typhoon Dolphin strengthening the subtropical high and suppressing cloud cover amid peak summer urban heat island effects. These conditions align with historical August patterns where climatological highs of 33–35°C occasionally spike higher under clear, stable air masses, with limited model divergence supporting the current consensus. Trader sentiment, reflected in the 36.5% implied probability for 38°C and combined 82.5% for 37–39°C outcomes, incorporates this stability while acknowledging residual uncertainty from any late shifts in steering flow or localized convection that could cap or elevate extremes before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月9日廣州最高溫度?
38°C 37%
37°C 27%
39°C 20%
36°C 13%
31°C或以下
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
2%
34°C
2%
35°C
3%
36°C
13%
37°C
27%
38°C
37%
39°C
20%
40°C
6%
41°C或更高
<1%
38°C 37%
37°C 27%
39°C 20%
36°C 13%
31°C或以下
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
2%
34°C
2%
35°C
3%
36°C
13%
37°C
27%
38°C
37%
39°C
20%
40°C
6%
41°C或更高
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from meteorological services point to a daily maximum of 37–38°C in Guangzhou on August 9, driven by subsidence on the periphery of Typhoon Dolphin strengthening the subtropical high and suppressing cloud cover amid peak summer urban heat island effects. These conditions align with historical August patterns where climatological highs of 33–35°C occasionally spike higher under clear, stable air masses, with limited model divergence supporting the current consensus. Trader sentiment, reflected in the 36.5% implied probability for 38°C and combined 82.5% for 37–39°C outcomes, incorporates this stability while acknowledging residual uncertainty from any late shifts in steering flow or localized convection that could cap or elevate extremes before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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