Current forecast consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration points to a peak temperature of 34°C in Shanghai on August 7, supported by persistent cloud cover, scattered thundershowers, and high humidity that limit surface heating during afternoon hours. This aligns with early August 2026 observations near 33–35°C and typical late-summer climatology for the Yangtze River Delta region, where average highs reach 31–32°C. Trader positioning at 93% implied probability for 34°C reflects model agreement on these moderating factors through peak daylight. Clearer skies or delayed precipitation could allow greater insolation and shift the maximum to 35°C, though steering patterns and moisture profiles make such intensification unlikely before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月7日上海最高溫度?
34°C 90%
35°C 9%
36°C <1%
28°C or below <1%
$150,397 交易量
$150,397 交易量
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
90%
35°C
9%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
34°C 90%
35°C 9%
36°C <1%
28°C or below <1%
$150,397 交易量
$150,397 交易量
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
90%
35°C
9%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration points to a peak temperature of 34°C in Shanghai on August 7, supported by persistent cloud cover, scattered thundershowers, and high humidity that limit surface heating during afternoon hours. This aligns with early August 2026 observations near 33–35°C and typical late-summer climatology for the Yangtze River Delta region, where average highs reach 31–32°C. Trader positioning at 93% implied probability for 34°C reflects model agreement on these moderating factors through peak daylight. Clearer skies or delayed precipitation could allow greater insolation and shift the maximum to 35°C, though steering patterns and moisture profiles make such intensification unlikely before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions