Trader consensus centers on 27–28°C as the most probable daily maximum for Istanbul on August 9, reflecting ensemble model guidance that clusters around typical early-August climatology of 27–29°C. Primary controls include the moderating influence of northerly Etesian winds and sea breezes from the Black Sea and Sea of Marmara, which cap afternoon heating, alongside urban heat-island effects that can add 1–2°C in central districts. Minor forecast spread arises from subtle differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and short-wave ridge positioning; stronger onshore flow or increased humidity would favor the lower end, while clearer skies and lighter winds support the higher. No major heatwave signals or anomalous blocking patterns have emerged in recent model runs, keeping probabilities tightly bunched.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於伊斯坦布爾8月9日的最高溫度？
伊斯坦布爾8月9日的最高溫度？
27°C 42%
28°C 37%
26°C 12%
29°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-09
23°C或以下
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
5%
26°C
12%
27°C
42%
28°C
37%
29°C
11%
30°C
2%
31°C
3%
32°C
2%
33°C或更高
<1%
27°C 42%
28°C 37%
26°C 12%
29°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-09
23°C或以下
$22 交易量
1%
24°C
$12 交易量
2%
25°C
$25 交易量
5%
26°C
$8 交易量
12%
27°C
$971 交易量
42%
28°C
$12 交易量
37%
29°C
$11 交易量
11%
30°C
$11 交易量
2%
31°C
$26 交易量
3%
32°C
$5 交易量
2%
33°C或更高
$16 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on 27–28°C as the most probable daily maximum for Istanbul on August 9, reflecting ensemble model guidance that clusters around typical early-August climatology of 27–29°C. Primary controls include the moderating influence of northerly Etesian winds and sea breezes from the Black Sea and Sea of Marmara, which cap afternoon heating, alongside urban heat-island effects that can add 1–2°C in central districts. Minor forecast spread arises from subtle differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and short-wave ridge positioning; stronger onshore flow or increased humidity would favor the lower end, while clearer skies and lighter winds support the higher. No major heatwave signals or anomalous blocking patterns have emerged in recent model runs, keeping probabilities tightly bunched.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$1,120結束日期
2026-08-09市場開放時間
Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on 27–28°C as the most probable daily maximum for Istanbul on August 9, reflecting ensemble model guidance that clusters around typical early-August climatology of 27–29°C. Primary controls include the moderating influence of northerly Etesian winds and sea breezes from the Black Sea and Sea of Marmara, which cap afternoon heating, alongside urban heat-island effects that can add 1–2°C in central districts. Minor forecast spread arises from subtle differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and short-wave ridge positioning; stronger onshore flow or increased humidity would favor the lower end, while clearer skies and lighter winds support the higher. No major heatwave signals or anomalous blocking patterns have emerged in recent model runs, keeping probabilities tightly bunched.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,120結束日期
2026-08-09市場開放時間
Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus centers on 27–28°C as the most probable daily maximum for Istanbul on August 9, reflecting ensemble model guidance that clusters around typical early-August climatology of 27–29°C. Primary controls include the moderating influence of northerly Etesian winds and sea breezes from the Black Sea and Sea of Marmara, which cap afternoon heating, alongside urban heat-island effects that can add 1–2°C in central districts. Minor forecast spread arises from subtle differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and short-wave ridge positioning; stronger onshore flow or increased humidity would favor the lower end, while clearer skies and lighter winds support the higher. No major heatwave signals or anomalous blocking patterns have emerged in recent model runs, keeping probabilities tightly bunched.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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