Recent forecasts from global models place Istanbul's August 7 maximum near the long-term August average of 28–30 °C, with ensemble spreads producing closely matched market-implied odds across 27–30 °C. Local factors driving this tight distribution include moderating influences from the adjacent Black Sea and Sea of Marmara, variable northeasterly winds, and potential afternoon cloud development that can limit peak heating by 1–3 °C. Short-range guidance shows modest warming potential from southerly flow but also uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any seabreeze front. Updated runs from ECMWF and GFS over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine whether the daily high settles in the upper or lower half of the current favored range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月7日伊斯坦布爾的最高溫度？
8月7日伊斯坦布爾的最高溫度？
28°C 34%
29°C 17%
30°C 17%
27°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-08-07
24°C或以下
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
8%
27°C
16%
28°C
34%
29°C
17%
30°C
17%
31°C
3%
32°C
7%
33°C
6%
34°C或以上
7%
28°C 34%
29°C 17%
30°C 17%
27°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-08-07
24°C或以下
$0 交易量
1%
25°C
$0 交易量
1%
26°C
$178 交易量
8%
27°C
$30 交易量
16%
28°C
$41 交易量
34%
29°C
$30 交易量
17%
30°C
$46 交易量
17%
31°C
$27 交易量
3%
32°C
$0 交易量
7%
33°C
$0 交易量
6%
34°C或以上
$0 交易量
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global models place Istanbul's August 7 maximum near the long-term August average of 28–30 °C, with ensemble spreads producing closely matched market-implied odds across 27–30 °C. Local factors driving this tight distribution include moderating influences from the adjacent Black Sea and Sea of Marmara, variable northeasterly winds, and potential afternoon cloud development that can limit peak heating by 1–3 °C. Short-range guidance shows modest warming potential from southerly flow but also uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any seabreeze front. Updated runs from ECMWF and GFS over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine whether the daily high settles in the upper or lower half of the current favored range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$352結束日期
2026-08-07市場開放時間
Aug 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global models place Istanbul's August 7 maximum near the long-term August average of 28–30 °C, with ensemble spreads producing closely matched market-implied odds across 27–30 °C. Local factors driving this tight distribution include moderating influences from the adjacent Black Sea and Sea of Marmara, variable northeasterly winds, and potential afternoon cloud development that can limit peak heating by 1–3 °C. Short-range guidance shows modest warming potential from southerly flow but also uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any seabreeze front. Updated runs from ECMWF and GFS over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine whether the daily high settles in the upper or lower half of the current favored range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$352結束日期
2026-08-07市場開放時間
Aug 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from global models place Istanbul's August 7 maximum near the long-term August average of 28–30 °C, with ensemble spreads producing closely matched market-implied odds across 27–30 °C. Local factors driving this tight distribution include moderating influences from the adjacent Black Sea and Sea of Marmara, variable northeasterly winds, and potential afternoon cloud development that can limit peak heating by 1–3 °C. Short-range guidance shows modest warming potential from southerly flow but also uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any seabreeze front. Updated runs from ECMWF and GFS over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine whether the daily high settles in the upper or lower half of the current favored range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions