Recent forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate light rain and overcast skies limiting daytime heating in Shanghai, anchoring expectations for a daily maximum near 33°C. This aligns with observed trends of moderating temperatures after recent peaks above 35°C, supported by typical August climatology showing averages around 31–32°C with high humidity and frequent cloud cover. Trader consensus reflects model agreement on these conditions persisting through peak afternoon hours. A shift to clearer skies or delayed precipitation could allow stronger solar heating and push readings to 34°C or higher, though current steering patterns and moisture make such intensification unlikely before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月5日上海最高溫度?
33°C 94%
34°C 8%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
$103,974 交易量
$103,974 交易量
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
94%
34°C
8%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 94%
34°C 8%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
$103,974 交易量
$103,974 交易量
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
94%
34°C
8%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate light rain and overcast skies limiting daytime heating in Shanghai, anchoring expectations for a daily maximum near 33°C. This aligns with observed trends of moderating temperatures after recent peaks above 35°C, supported by typical August climatology showing averages around 31–32°C with high humidity and frequent cloud cover. Trader consensus reflects model agreement on these conditions persisting through peak afternoon hours. A shift to clearer skies or delayed precipitation could allow stronger solar heating and push readings to 34°C or higher, though current steering patterns and moisture make such intensification unlikely before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions