Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological services, including model consensus for Shanghai on August 5, 2026, indicate a nighttime minimum near 27°C under typical summer conditions of high humidity and limited radiative cooling, driving the market-implied odds strongly toward that threshold at 98.5%. Official observations from prior days show overnight lows of 26–28°C amid stable atmospheric patterns with minimal frontal activity. This positioning aligns with climatological baselines for early August, where average lows hover around 25–26°C but recent measurements trend slightly higher due to persistent warmth. A shift in steering winds or unexpected precipitation could lower readings toward 26°C or below, though such changes appear unlikely before resolution based on current guidance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月5日上海最低溫度?
27°C 99%
26°C 1.1%
24°C <1%
23°C <1%
$33,886 交易量
$33,886 交易量
22°C或以下
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
99%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C或以上
<1%
27°C 99%
26°C 1.1%
24°C <1%
23°C <1%
$33,886 交易量
$33,886 交易量
22°C或以下
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
99%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological services, including model consensus for Shanghai on August 5, 2026, indicate a nighttime minimum near 27°C under typical summer conditions of high humidity and limited radiative cooling, driving the market-implied odds strongly toward that threshold at 98.5%. Official observations from prior days show overnight lows of 26–28°C amid stable atmospheric patterns with minimal frontal activity. This positioning aligns with climatological baselines for early August, where average lows hover around 25–26°C but recent measurements trend slightly higher due to persistent warmth. A shift in steering winds or unexpected precipitation could lower readings toward 26°C or below, though such changes appear unlikely before resolution based on current guidance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions