Recent short-range forecast models from agencies monitoring East Asian summer patterns indicate Shanghai overnight lows on August 6 will most likely settle near 27–28°C, driven by high humidity, weak synoptic gradients, and residual heat from daytime highs around 33°C with scattered showers. These conditions align with climatological August baselines for the region, where urban heat-island effects and moist air masses limit radiative cooling. Trader consensus reflected in the leading 28°C (46.5%) and 27°C (24.5%) outcomes incorporates the latest model consensus favoring minimal overnight drops, while lower probabilities for 29°C or below 27°C account for forecast uncertainty in timing of any convective activity. Updated guidance expected within the next 12–24 hours could refine these implied probabilities ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月6日上海最低溫度？
8月6日上海最低溫度？
28°C 47%
27°C 25%
29°C 18%
26°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-06
22°C或以下
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
6%
27°C
25%
28°C
47%
29°C
18%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C或以上
1%
28°C 47%
27°C 25%
29°C 18%
26°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-06
22°C或以下
$10 交易量
1%
23°C
$15 交易量
1%
24°C
$57 交易量
1%
25°C
$18 交易量
2%
26°C
$22 交易量
6%
27°C
$32 交易量
25%
28°C
$261 交易量
47%
29°C
$278 交易量
18%
30°C
$57 交易量
1%
31°C
$10 交易量
1%
32°C或以上
$10 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast models from agencies monitoring East Asian summer patterns indicate Shanghai overnight lows on August 6 will most likely settle near 27–28°C, driven by high humidity, weak synoptic gradients, and residual heat from daytime highs around 33°C with scattered showers. These conditions align with climatological August baselines for the region, where urban heat-island effects and moist air masses limit radiative cooling. Trader consensus reflected in the leading 28°C (46.5%) and 27°C (24.5%) outcomes incorporates the latest model consensus favoring minimal overnight drops, while lower probabilities for 29°C or below 27°C account for forecast uncertainty in timing of any convective activity. Updated guidance expected within the next 12–24 hours could refine these implied probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$771結束日期
2026-08-06市場開放時間
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast models from agencies monitoring East Asian summer patterns indicate Shanghai overnight lows on August 6 will most likely settle near 27–28°C, driven by high humidity, weak synoptic gradients, and residual heat from daytime highs around 33°C with scattered showers. These conditions align with climatological August baselines for the region, where urban heat-island effects and moist air masses limit radiative cooling. Trader consensus reflected in the leading 28°C (46.5%) and 27°C (24.5%) outcomes incorporates the latest model consensus favoring minimal overnight drops, while lower probabilities for 29°C or below 27°C account for forecast uncertainty in timing of any convective activity. Updated guidance expected within the next 12–24 hours could refine these implied probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$771結束日期
2026-08-06市場開放時間
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent short-range forecast models from agencies monitoring East Asian summer patterns indicate Shanghai overnight lows on August 6 will most likely settle near 27–28°C, driven by high humidity, weak synoptic gradients, and residual heat from daytime highs around 33°C with scattered showers. These conditions align with climatological August baselines for the region, where urban heat-island effects and moist air masses limit radiative cooling. Trader consensus reflected in the leading 28°C (46.5%) and 27°C (24.5%) outcomes incorporates the latest model consensus favoring minimal overnight drops, while lower probabilities for 29°C or below 27°C account for forecast uncertainty in timing of any convective activity. Updated guidance expected within the next 12–24 hours could refine these implied probabilities ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions