**Persistent warm, humid conditions and limited overnight cooling are positioning the lowest temperature in New York City on August 6, 2026, in the mid-to-upper 70s°F range, consistent with market-implied probabilities favoring 78-79°F (43%) and 76-77°F (24%).** National Weather Service forecasts and other models indicate overnight lows around 75–78°F under a warm air mass, with high dew points, light winds, and scattered showers or thunderstorms restricting radiational cooling. The urban heat island effect in NYC further elevates minimum temperatures by retaining heat from pavement and buildings. This aligns with the broader pattern of above-average August warmth, where typical lows near 70°F have been exceeded amid ongoing southerly flow and frontal activity without a significant cool-air intrusion. Recent model consensus and current observations show minimal day-to-day shifts, supporting trader consensus around these thresholds while leaving room for minor revisions if clearer skies or stronger winds develop overnight.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月6日紐約市的最低溫度？
8月6日紐約市的最低溫度？
78-79°F 43%
76-77°F 39%
74-75°F 15%
72-73°F 2%
最新
最新
2026-08-06
65°F或以下
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
15%
76-77°F
39%
78-79°F
43%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F或更高
<1%
78-79°F 43%
76-77°F 39%
74-75°F 15%
72-73°F 2%
最新
最新
2026-08-06
65°F或以下
$496 交易量
<1%
66-67°F
$441 交易量
<1%
68-69°F
$535 交易量
1%
70-71°F
$799 交易量
1%
72-73°F
$122 交易量
2%
74-75°F
$364 交易量
15%
76-77°F
$2,325 交易量
39%
78-79°F
$1,077 交易量
43%
80-81°F
$708 交易量
<1%
82-83°F
$646 交易量
<1%
84°F或更高
$486 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent warm, humid conditions and limited overnight cooling are positioning the lowest temperature in New York City on August 6, 2026, in the mid-to-upper 70s°F range, consistent with market-implied probabilities favoring 78-79°F (43%) and 76-77°F (24%).**
National Weather Service forecasts and other models indicate overnight lows around 75–78°F under a warm air mass, with high dew points, light winds, and scattered showers or thunderstorms restricting radiational cooling. The urban heat island effect in NYC further elevates minimum temperatures by retaining heat from pavement and buildings. This aligns with the broader pattern of above-average August warmth, where typical lows near 70°F have been exceeded amid ongoing southerly flow and frontal activity without a significant cool-air intrusion. Recent model consensus and current observations show minimal day-to-day shifts, supporting trader consensus around these thresholds while leaving room for minor revisions if clearer skies or stronger winds develop overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 4, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
交易量
$7,998結束日期
2026-08-06市場開放時間
Aug 4, 2026, 9:30 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent warm, humid conditions and limited overnight cooling are positioning the lowest temperature in New York City on August 6, 2026, in the mid-to-upper 70s°F range, consistent with market-implied probabilities favoring 78-79°F (43%) and 76-77°F (24%).**
National Weather Service forecasts and other models indicate overnight lows around 75–78°F under a warm air mass, with high dew points, light winds, and scattered showers or thunderstorms restricting radiational cooling. The urban heat island effect in NYC further elevates minimum temperatures by retaining heat from pavement and buildings. This aligns with the broader pattern of above-average August warmth, where typical lows near 70°F have been exceeded amid ongoing southerly flow and frontal activity without a significant cool-air intrusion. Recent model consensus and current observations show minimal day-to-day shifts, supporting trader consensus around these thresholds while leaving room for minor revisions if clearer skies or stronger winds develop overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$7,998結束日期
2026-08-06市場開放時間
Aug 4, 2026, 9:30 PM ET**Persistent warm, humid conditions and limited overnight cooling are positioning the lowest temperature in New York City on August 6, 2026, in the mid-to-upper 70s°F range, consistent with market-implied probabilities favoring 78-79°F (43%) and 76-77°F (24%).** National Weather Service forecasts and other models indicate overnight lows around 75–78°F under a warm air mass, with high dew points, light winds, and scattered showers or thunderstorms restricting radiational cooling. The urban heat island effect in NYC further elevates minimum temperatures by retaining heat from pavement and buildings. This aligns with the broader pattern of above-average August warmth, where typical lows near 70°F have been exceeded amid ongoing southerly flow and frontal activity without a significant cool-air intrusion. Recent model consensus and current observations show minimal day-to-day shifts, supporting trader consensus around these thresholds while leaving room for minor revisions if clearer skies or stronger winds develop overnight.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions