Recent forecasts from agencies including AEMET and the Met Office indicate highs of 37–38°C for Madrid on August 8 amid Spain’s third heatwave of 2026, driven by persistent high pressure and warm air advection from North Africa. Model consensus favors this range under mostly sunny, dry conditions with light winds, while slight variations in timing or intensity could push readings to 39°C. These factors underpin the market’s heavy weighting toward 38°C (48.5%) and 37°C (29.0%), with lower probabilities for extremes reflecting limited expected deviation from current guidance. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will refine the outlook before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月8日馬德裏氣溫最高？
8月8日馬德裏氣溫最高？
38°C 47%
37°C 29%
39°C 22%
36°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-08
34°C或以下
<1%
35°C
2%
36°C
5%
37°C
29%
38°C
47%
39°C
22%
40°C
3%
41°C
2%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C或更高
<1%
38°C 47%
37°C 29%
39°C 22%
36°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-08
34°C或以下
$28 交易量
<1%
35°C
$30 交易量
2%
36°C
$171 交易量
5%
37°C
$458 交易量
29%
38°C
$366 交易量
47%
39°C
$573 交易量
22%
40°C
$191 交易量
3%
41°C
$73 交易量
2%
42°C
$119 交易量
<1%
43°C
$97 交易量
<1%
44°C或更高
$97 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including AEMET and the Met Office indicate highs of 37–38°C for Madrid on August 8 amid Spain’s third heatwave of 2026, driven by persistent high pressure and warm air advection from North Africa. Model consensus favors this range under mostly sunny, dry conditions with light winds, while slight variations in timing or intensity could push readings to 39°C. These factors underpin the market’s heavy weighting toward 38°C (48.5%) and 37°C (29.0%), with lower probabilities for extremes reflecting limited expected deviation from current guidance. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will refine the outlook before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
交易量
$2,202結束日期
2026-08-08市場開放時間
Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including AEMET and the Met Office indicate highs of 37–38°C for Madrid on August 8 amid Spain’s third heatwave of 2026, driven by persistent high pressure and warm air advection from North Africa. Model consensus favors this range under mostly sunny, dry conditions with light winds, while slight variations in timing or intensity could push readings to 39°C. These factors underpin the market’s heavy weighting toward 38°C (48.5%) and 37°C (29.0%), with lower probabilities for extremes reflecting limited expected deviation from current guidance. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will refine the outlook before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,202結束日期
2026-08-08市場開放時間
Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ETRecent forecasts from agencies including AEMET and the Met Office indicate highs of 37–38°C for Madrid on August 8 amid Spain’s third heatwave of 2026, driven by persistent high pressure and warm air advection from North Africa. Model consensus favors this range under mostly sunny, dry conditions with light winds, while slight variations in timing or intensity could push readings to 39°C. These factors underpin the market’s heavy weighting toward 38°C (48.5%) and 37°C (29.0%), with lower probabilities for extremes reflecting limited expected deviation from current guidance. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will refine the outlook before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions