Recent short-range model consensus from the Met Office and ECMWF points to a maximum temperature near 28°C in London on August 8, supporting the market's tight clustering around 27–28°C as the leading outcomes. A warming trend driven by building high pressure and southerly airflow is lifting daytime peaks after mid-week cooling to the low 20s, with mostly clear skies expected to allow full solar heating. Ensemble spreads remain modest but include some members favoring 26°C if cloud or a breeze increases, while fewer runs reach 29°C or higher under stronger subsidence. Historical August climatology for London centers around 23–24°C, making the current setup an above-average signal that traders are pricing through updated guidance ahead of final pre-event model runs.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月8日倫敦的最高溫度？
8月8日倫敦的最高溫度？
27°C 42%
28°C 28%
26°C 19%
29°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-08
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
19%
27°C
42%
28°C
28%
29°C
8%
30°C
2%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 42%
28°C 28%
26°C 19%
29°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-08
23°C or below
$347 交易量
1%
24°C
$326 交易量
1%
25°C
$552 交易量
2%
26°C
$911 交易量
19%
27°C
$2,814 交易量
42%
28°C
$1,481 交易量
28%
29°C
$711 交易量
8%
30°C
$563 交易量
2%
31°C
$315 交易量
<1%
32°C
$514 交易量
<1%
33°C or higher
$501 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model consensus from the Met Office and ECMWF points to a maximum temperature near 28°C in London on August 8, supporting the market's tight clustering around 27–28°C as the leading outcomes. A warming trend driven by building high pressure and southerly airflow is lifting daytime peaks after mid-week cooling to the low 20s, with mostly clear skies expected to allow full solar heating. Ensemble spreads remain modest but include some members favoring 26°C if cloud or a breeze increases, while fewer runs reach 29°C or higher under stronger subsidence. Historical August climatology for London centers around 23–24°C, making the current setup an above-average signal that traders are pricing through updated guidance ahead of final pre-event model runs.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
交易量
$9,035結束日期
2026-08-08市場開放時間
Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model consensus from the Met Office and ECMWF points to a maximum temperature near 28°C in London on August 8, supporting the market's tight clustering around 27–28°C as the leading outcomes. A warming trend driven by building high pressure and southerly airflow is lifting daytime peaks after mid-week cooling to the low 20s, with mostly clear skies expected to allow full solar heating. Ensemble spreads remain modest but include some members favoring 26°C if cloud or a breeze increases, while fewer runs reach 29°C or higher under stronger subsidence. Historical August climatology for London centers around 23–24°C, making the current setup an above-average signal that traders are pricing through updated guidance ahead of final pre-event model runs.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$9,035結束日期
2026-08-08市場開放時間
Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ETRecent short-range model consensus from the Met Office and ECMWF points to a maximum temperature near 28°C in London on August 8, supporting the market's tight clustering around 27–28°C as the leading outcomes. A warming trend driven by building high pressure and southerly airflow is lifting daytime peaks after mid-week cooling to the low 20s, with mostly clear skies expected to allow full solar heating. Ensemble spreads remain modest but include some members favoring 26°C if cloud or a breeze increases, while fewer runs reach 29°C or higher under stronger subsidence. Historical August climatology for London centers around 23–24°C, making the current setup an above-average signal that traders are pricing through updated guidance ahead of final pre-event model runs.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions