Latest Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs point to a London high of 25–26 °C on August 7, underpinning the market’s near-even split between those two outcomes. Subtle differences in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the strength of the southeasterly flow will decide whether the peak reaches the upper end of that range. The urban heat-island effect at central stations can add 1–2 °C relative to Heathrow, while any late-day sea-breeze or increased low-level moisture would cap readings nearer 25 °C. With resolution only 48 hours away, the next 12-hour model cycles and updated Met Office briefings will sharpen the distinction between these tightly matched probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月7日倫敦的最高溫度？
8月7日倫敦的最高溫度？
26°C 36%
25°C 32%
27°C 16%
24°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-08-07
22°C or below
2%
23°C
5%
24°C
15%
25°C
32%
26°C
36%
27°C
16%
28°C
7%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
26°C 36%
25°C 32%
27°C 16%
24°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-08-07
22°C or below
$173 交易量
2%
23°C
$56 交易量
5%
24°C
$15 交易量
15%
25°C
$208 交易量
32%
26°C
$227 交易量
36%
27°C
$134 交易量
16%
28°C
$30 交易量
7%
29°C
$27 交易量
1%
30°C
$50 交易量
<1%
31°C
$10 交易量
1%
32°C or higher
$10 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs point to a London high of 25–26 °C on August 7, underpinning the market’s near-even split between those two outcomes. Subtle differences in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the strength of the southeasterly flow will decide whether the peak reaches the upper end of that range. The urban heat-island effect at central stations can add 1–2 °C relative to Heathrow, while any late-day sea-breeze or increased low-level moisture would cap readings nearer 25 °C. With resolution only 48 hours away, the next 12-hour model cycles and updated Met Office briefings will sharpen the distinction between these tightly matched probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$891結束日期
2026-08-07市場開放時間
Aug 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs point to a London high of 25–26 °C on August 7, underpinning the market’s near-even split between those two outcomes. Subtle differences in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the strength of the southeasterly flow will decide whether the peak reaches the upper end of that range. The urban heat-island effect at central stations can add 1–2 °C relative to Heathrow, while any late-day sea-breeze or increased low-level moisture would cap readings nearer 25 °C. With resolution only 48 hours away, the next 12-hour model cycles and updated Met Office briefings will sharpen the distinction between these tightly matched probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$891結束日期
2026-08-07市場開放時間
Aug 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETLatest Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs point to a London high of 25–26 °C on August 7, underpinning the market’s near-even split between those two outcomes. Subtle differences in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the strength of the southeasterly flow will decide whether the peak reaches the upper end of that range. The urban heat-island effect at central stations can add 1–2 °C relative to Heathrow, while any late-day sea-breeze or increased low-level moisture would cap readings nearer 25 °C. With resolution only 48 hours away, the next 12-hour model cycles and updated Met Office briefings will sharpen the distinction between these tightly matched probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions