Official Met Office forecasts indicate a maximum of 23°C for London on August 6 amid post-heatwave cooling, with temperatures returning toward seasonal August averages after recent spells above 30°C in southern England. Atmospheric conditions feature moderating high pressure and northerly influences that limit daytime warming, while ensemble models show limited scope for significant deviations. This aligns with market-implied odds favoring 22–24°C outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of forecast consensus and typical model spread for short-range predictions. Key resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at the designated London station, with minor adjustments possible from updated runs or localized effects.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月6日倫敦的最高溫度?
23°C 48%
24°C 27%
22°C 23%
25°C 4%
$21,952 交易量
$21,952 交易量
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
23%
23°C
48%
24°C
27%
25°C
4%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
23°C 48%
24°C 27%
22°C 23%
25°C 4%
$21,952 交易量
$21,952 交易量
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
23%
23°C
48%
24°C
27%
25°C
4%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official Met Office forecasts indicate a maximum of 23°C for London on August 6 amid post-heatwave cooling, with temperatures returning toward seasonal August averages after recent spells above 30°C in southern England. Atmospheric conditions feature moderating high pressure and northerly influences that limit daytime warming, while ensemble models show limited scope for significant deviations. This aligns with market-implied odds favoring 22–24°C outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of forecast consensus and typical model spread for short-range predictions. Key resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at the designated London station, with minor adjustments possible from updated runs or localized effects.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions