Latest forecasts from regional meteorological models indicate Shenzhen will likely peak between 31–33°C on August 5 under typical subtropical summer conditions, with high humidity, variable cloud cover, and a weak monsoon influence moderating extreme heating. Traders have concentrated on 32°C (48.5%) and 33°C (41.0%) because afternoon solar insolation and urban heat retention favor those thresholds, while scattered showers or thicker cloud decks could cap readings near 31°C. Historical August baselines show average highs near 32°C, and current model consensus lacks strong signals for either rapid clearing that would push toward 34°C or sustained rain that would suppress temperatures further. Upcoming afternoon observations and updated model runs will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月5日深圳最高溫度?
32°C 71%
33°C 30%
34°C 5%
35°C <1%
$87,639 交易量
$87,639 交易量
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
66%
33°C
32%
34°C
5%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 71%
33°C 30%
34°C 5%
35°C <1%
$87,639 交易量
$87,639 交易量
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
66%
33°C
32%
34°C
5%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest forecasts from regional meteorological models indicate Shenzhen will likely peak between 31–33°C on August 5 under typical subtropical summer conditions, with high humidity, variable cloud cover, and a weak monsoon influence moderating extreme heating. Traders have concentrated on 32°C (48.5%) and 33°C (41.0%) because afternoon solar insolation and urban heat retention favor those thresholds, while scattered showers or thicker cloud decks could cap readings near 31°C. Historical August baselines show average highs near 32°C, and current model consensus lacks strong signals for either rapid clearing that would push toward 34°C or sustained rain that would suppress temperatures further. Upcoming afternoon observations and updated model runs will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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