Official meteorological observations for Guangzhou confirm a daily maximum of exactly 35°C on August 5, 2026, aligning with the market's near-certain 100% implied probability for that outcome. In this subtropical monsoon climate, August highs typically range 33–35°C due to persistent southerly flows, high humidity, and urban heat effects, with limited diurnal cooling. Recent model consensus from regional agencies showed minimal deviation from this range under partly cloudy conditions with scattered showers, eliminating upside or downside surprises. Scenarios that could challenge this include revised station data, measurement discrepancies at official sites, or unexpected late-day intensification, though current verification makes such shifts improbable before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月5日廣州最高溫度?
35°C 99.8%
28°C或以下 <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$89,189 交易量
$89,189 交易量
28°C或以下
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
100%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C或以上
<1%
35°C 99.8%
28°C或以下 <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$89,189 交易量
$89,189 交易量
28°C或以下
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
100%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official meteorological observations for Guangzhou confirm a daily maximum of exactly 35°C on August 5, 2026, aligning with the market's near-certain 100% implied probability for that outcome. In this subtropical monsoon climate, August highs typically range 33–35°C due to persistent southerly flows, high humidity, and urban heat effects, with limited diurnal cooling. Recent model consensus from regional agencies showed minimal deviation from this range under partly cloudy conditions with scattered showers, eliminating upside or downside surprises. Scenarios that could challenge this include revised station data, measurement discrepancies at official sites, or unexpected late-day intensification, though current verification makes such shifts improbable before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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