Recent model runs from the German Weather Service and ECMWF place Munich’s August 5 maximum near 33–34 °C under a persistent high-pressure ridge delivering clear skies, light southeasterly flow, and strong daytime insolation. The tight 49 %–40.5 % split between the 33 °C and 34 °C outcomes reflects small but consequential differences in boundary-layer mixing and afternoon cloud development across ensemble members. A preceding multi-day heatwave that produced 37 °C on August 4 has elevated baseline soil and surface temperatures, keeping the upper end of the distribution in play while overnight radiative cooling limits further escalation. Updated afternoon soundings and nowcasting data will determine whether the peak edges into the 34 °C bucket or settles at 33 °C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月5日慕尼黑的最高溫度？
8月5日慕尼黑的最高溫度？
33°C 49%
34°C 41%
35°C 9%
32°C 6%
$57,430 交易量
$57,430 交易量
2026-08-05
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
6%
33°C
49%
34°C
41%
35°C
9%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
33°C 49%
34°C 41%
35°C 9%
32°C 6%
$57,430 交易量
$57,430 交易量
2026-08-05
30°C or below
$4,283 交易量
<1%
31°C
$4,166 交易量
<1%
32°C
$8,727 交易量
6%
33°C
$9,355 交易量
49%
34°C
$8,620 交易量
41%
35°C
$10,248 交易量
9%
36°C
$8,451 交易量
1%
37°C
$2,396 交易量
<1%
38°C
$449 交易量
<1%
39°C
$383 交易量
<1%
40°C or higher
$353 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs from the German Weather Service and ECMWF place Munich’s August 5 maximum near 33–34 °C under a persistent high-pressure ridge delivering clear skies, light southeasterly flow, and strong daytime insolation. The tight 49 %–40.5 % split between the 33 °C and 34 °C outcomes reflects small but consequential differences in boundary-layer mixing and afternoon cloud development across ensemble members. A preceding multi-day heatwave that produced 37 °C on August 4 has elevated baseline soil and surface temperatures, keeping the upper end of the distribution in play while overnight radiative cooling limits further escalation. Updated afternoon soundings and nowcasting data will determine whether the peak edges into the 34 °C bucket or settles at 33 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$57,430結束日期
2026-08-05市場開放時間
Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs from the German Weather Service and ECMWF place Munich’s August 5 maximum near 33–34 °C under a persistent high-pressure ridge delivering clear skies, light southeasterly flow, and strong daytime insolation. The tight 49 %–40.5 % split between the 33 °C and 34 °C outcomes reflects small but consequential differences in boundary-layer mixing and afternoon cloud development across ensemble members. A preceding multi-day heatwave that produced 37 °C on August 4 has elevated baseline soil and surface temperatures, keeping the upper end of the distribution in play while overnight radiative cooling limits further escalation. Updated afternoon soundings and nowcasting data will determine whether the peak edges into the 34 °C bucket or settles at 33 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$57,430結束日期
2026-08-05市場開放時間
Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ETRecent model runs from the German Weather Service and ECMWF place Munich’s August 5 maximum near 33–34 °C under a persistent high-pressure ridge delivering clear skies, light southeasterly flow, and strong daytime insolation. The tight 49 %–40.5 % split between the 33 °C and 34 °C outcomes reflects small but consequential differences in boundary-layer mixing and afternoon cloud development across ensemble members. A preceding multi-day heatwave that produced 37 °C on August 4 has elevated baseline soil and surface temperatures, keeping the upper end of the distribution in play while overnight radiative cooling limits further escalation. Updated afternoon soundings and nowcasting data will determine whether the peak edges into the 34 °C bucket or settles at 33 °C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions