Ongoing extreme heat across southeastern South Korea, driven by the North Pacific High advecting warm, moist air, is the main factor anchoring trader consensus around 35–36 °C for Busan’s August 7 maximum. Recent records—38.8 °C in Busan and 42.5 °C inland at Yangsan—highlight the heatwave’s intensity, yet coastal sea-breeze moderation and potential afternoon cloud development introduce uncertainty that narrows the spread between 35 °C and 37 °C outcomes. KMA short-range guidance and ensemble model runs currently cluster daytime highs near 34–36 °C, with small differences in boundary-layer mixing and wind direction determining whether the peak reaches the upper or lower end of that range. Updated forecasts and the next KMA briefing remain the key near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月7日釜山的最高溫度？
8月7日釜山的最高溫度？
36°C 36%
35°C 26%
37°C 22%
34°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-07
31°C或以下
<1%
32°C
2%
33°C
5%
34°C
11%
35°C
26%
36°C
36%
37°C
22%
38°C
4%
39°C
2%
40℃
1%
41°C或以上
1%
36°C 36%
35°C 26%
37°C 22%
34°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-07
31°C或以下
$50 交易量
<1%
32°C
$279 交易量
2%
33°C
$62 交易量
5%
34°C
$20 交易量
11%
35°C
$0 交易量
26%
36°C
$49 交易量
36%
37°C
$15 交易量
22%
38°C
$65 交易量
4%
39°C
$13 交易量
2%
40℃
$37 交易量
1%
41°C或以上
$192 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing extreme heat across southeastern South Korea, driven by the North Pacific High advecting warm, moist air, is the main factor anchoring trader consensus around 35–36 °C for Busan’s August 7 maximum. Recent records—38.8 °C in Busan and 42.5 °C inland at Yangsan—highlight the heatwave’s intensity, yet coastal sea-breeze moderation and potential afternoon cloud development introduce uncertainty that narrows the spread between 35 °C and 37 °C outcomes. KMA short-range guidance and ensemble model runs currently cluster daytime highs near 34–36 °C, with small differences in boundary-layer mixing and wind direction determining whether the peak reaches the upper or lower end of that range. Updated forecasts and the next KMA briefing remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$781結束日期
2026-08-07市場開放時間
Aug 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing extreme heat across southeastern South Korea, driven by the North Pacific High advecting warm, moist air, is the main factor anchoring trader consensus around 35–36 °C for Busan’s August 7 maximum. Recent records—38.8 °C in Busan and 42.5 °C inland at Yangsan—highlight the heatwave’s intensity, yet coastal sea-breeze moderation and potential afternoon cloud development introduce uncertainty that narrows the spread between 35 °C and 37 °C outcomes. KMA short-range guidance and ensemble model runs currently cluster daytime highs near 34–36 °C, with small differences in boundary-layer mixing and wind direction determining whether the peak reaches the upper or lower end of that range. Updated forecasts and the next KMA briefing remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$781結束日期
2026-08-07市場開放時間
Aug 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ETOngoing extreme heat across southeastern South Korea, driven by the North Pacific High advecting warm, moist air, is the main factor anchoring trader consensus around 35–36 °C for Busan’s August 7 maximum. Recent records—38.8 °C in Busan and 42.5 °C inland at Yangsan—highlight the heatwave’s intensity, yet coastal sea-breeze moderation and potential afternoon cloud development introduce uncertainty that narrows the spread between 35 °C and 37 °C outcomes. KMA short-range guidance and ensemble model runs currently cluster daytime highs near 34–36 °C, with small differences in boundary-layer mixing and wind direction determining whether the peak reaches the upper or lower end of that range. Updated forecasts and the next KMA briefing remain the key near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions