Recent forecasts indicate Shanghai's overnight minimum on August 7 will likely settle near 28–29°C, driven by persistent summer humidity, limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, and the urban heat island effect that retains warmth in the densely built environment. Minor differences between leading outcomes hinge on subtle variations in expected wind patterns, cloud cover, and any localized showers that could enhance or suppress nocturnal temperature drops, as captured in ensemble model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration. Historical August baselines show typical lows of 25–27°C, but current conditions support slightly elevated readings. Traders' tight split reflects genuine uncertainty in final model guidance ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月7日上海最低溫度？
8月7日上海最低溫度？
28°C 48%
29°C 38%
27°C 14%
26°C 3%
最新
最新
2026-08-07
23°C或以下
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
14%
28°C
48%
29°C
38%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C或更高
<1%
28°C 48%
29°C 38%
27°C 14%
26°C 3%
最新
最新
2026-08-07
23°C或以下
$95 交易量
<1%
24°C
$40 交易量
<1%
25°C
$137 交易量
1%
26°C
$37 交易量
3%
27°C
$210 交易量
14%
28°C
$421 交易量
48%
29°C
$305 交易量
38%
30°C
$54 交易量
1%
31°C
$210 交易量
1%
32°C
$89 交易量
<1%
33°C或更高
$321 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts indicate Shanghai's overnight minimum on August 7 will likely settle near 28–29°C, driven by persistent summer humidity, limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, and the urban heat island effect that retains warmth in the densely built environment. Minor differences between leading outcomes hinge on subtle variations in expected wind patterns, cloud cover, and any localized showers that could enhance or suppress nocturnal temperature drops, as captured in ensemble model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration. Historical August baselines show typical lows of 25–27°C, but current conditions support slightly elevated readings. Traders' tight split reflects genuine uncertainty in final model guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$1,596結束日期
2026-08-07市場開放時間
Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts indicate Shanghai's overnight minimum on August 7 will likely settle near 28–29°C, driven by persistent summer humidity, limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, and the urban heat island effect that retains warmth in the densely built environment. Minor differences between leading outcomes hinge on subtle variations in expected wind patterns, cloud cover, and any localized showers that could enhance or suppress nocturnal temperature drops, as captured in ensemble model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration. Historical August baselines show typical lows of 25–27°C, but current conditions support slightly elevated readings. Traders' tight split reflects genuine uncertainty in final model guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,596結束日期
2026-08-07市場開放時間
Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent forecasts indicate Shanghai's overnight minimum on August 7 will likely settle near 28–29°C, driven by persistent summer humidity, limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, and the urban heat island effect that retains warmth in the densely built environment. Minor differences between leading outcomes hinge on subtle variations in expected wind patterns, cloud cover, and any localized showers that could enhance or suppress nocturnal temperature drops, as captured in ensemble model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration. Historical August baselines show typical lows of 25–27°C, but current conditions support slightly elevated readings. Traders' tight split reflects genuine uncertainty in final model guidance ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions