Recent JMA forecasts for Tokyo on August 8 project a minimum near 25°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds and low precipitation chances, above the ~23.8°C daily normal amid a broader above-average summer pattern driven by a strengthened Pacific High. Trader consensus favoring 26–27°C reflects expectations that the urban heat island effect and residual warmth from late-July heatwaves will limit overnight radiative cooling, keeping the observed low (typically at the central observatory) slightly elevated. Between these close outcomes, modest differences in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could determine whether minima reach the upper or lower end of that range, with model runs showing limited spread. Updated short-range guidance issued in the final 24 hours before resolution will provide the key signal for any last adjustments in positioning.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月8日東京最低氣溫？
8月8日東京最低氣溫？
26°C 47%
27°C 46%
24°C 8%
25°C 3%
最新
最新
2026-08-08
21°C或以下
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
8%
25°C
3%
26°C
47%
27°C
46%
28°C
2%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C或以上
1%
26°C 47%
27°C 46%
24°C 8%
25°C 3%
最新
最新
2026-08-08
21°C或以下
$111 交易量
1%
22°C
$133 交易量
1%
23°C
$92 交易量
3%
24°C
$379 交易量
8%
25°C
$84 交易量
3%
26°C
$268 交易量
47%
27°C
$1,342 交易量
46%
28°C
$97 交易量
2%
29°C
$150 交易量
2%
30°C
$62 交易量
1%
31°C或以上
$313 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent JMA forecasts for Tokyo on August 8 project a minimum near 25°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds and low precipitation chances, above the ~23.8°C daily normal amid a broader above-average summer pattern driven by a strengthened Pacific High. Trader consensus favoring 26–27°C reflects expectations that the urban heat island effect and residual warmth from late-July heatwaves will limit overnight radiative cooling, keeping the observed low (typically at the central observatory) slightly elevated. Between these close outcomes, modest differences in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could determine whether minima reach the upper or lower end of that range, with model runs showing limited spread. Updated short-range guidance issued in the final 24 hours before resolution will provide the key signal for any last adjustments in positioning.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$3,031結束日期
2026-08-08市場開放時間
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent JMA forecasts for Tokyo on August 8 project a minimum near 25°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds and low precipitation chances, above the ~23.8°C daily normal amid a broader above-average summer pattern driven by a strengthened Pacific High. Trader consensus favoring 26–27°C reflects expectations that the urban heat island effect and residual warmth from late-July heatwaves will limit overnight radiative cooling, keeping the observed low (typically at the central observatory) slightly elevated. Between these close outcomes, modest differences in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could determine whether minima reach the upper or lower end of that range, with model runs showing limited spread. Updated short-range guidance issued in the final 24 hours before resolution will provide the key signal for any last adjustments in positioning.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,031結束日期
2026-08-08市場開放時間
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent JMA forecasts for Tokyo on August 8 project a minimum near 25°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds and low precipitation chances, above the ~23.8°C daily normal amid a broader above-average summer pattern driven by a strengthened Pacific High. Trader consensus favoring 26–27°C reflects expectations that the urban heat island effect and residual warmth from late-July heatwaves will limit overnight radiative cooling, keeping the observed low (typically at the central observatory) slightly elevated. Between these close outcomes, modest differences in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could determine whether minima reach the upper or lower end of that range, with model runs showing limited spread. Updated short-range guidance issued in the final 24 hours before resolution will provide the key signal for any last adjustments in positioning.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions