Recent hot conditions across northern Taiwan, including a 37°C peak on August 5, have elevated trader expectations for continued warmth, yet official Central Weather Administration forecasts for August 8 project a high of 28–31°C amid cloudy skies and showers. Historical August averages near 33–34°C and typical urban heat-island effects in Taipei support the 71.5% market-implied probability for 32°C or higher, while model consensus on precipitation timing introduces uncertainty that caps odds for lower bins. Updated guidance on Saturday morning will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the daily maximum measurement.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月8日臺北氣溫最高?
32°C or higher 72%
31°C 19%
30°C 11%
29°C 2%
$56,977 交易量
$56,977 交易量
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
11%
31°C
19%
32°C or higher
72%
32°C or higher 72%
31°C 19%
30°C 11%
29°C 2%
$56,977 交易量
$56,977 交易量
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
11%
31°C
19%
32°C or higher
72%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent hot conditions across northern Taiwan, including a 37°C peak on August 5, have elevated trader expectations for continued warmth, yet official Central Weather Administration forecasts for August 8 project a high of 28–31°C amid cloudy skies and showers. Historical August averages near 33–34°C and typical urban heat-island effects in Taipei support the 71.5% market-implied probability for 32°C or higher, while model consensus on precipitation timing introduces uncertainty that caps odds for lower bins. Updated guidance on Saturday morning will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the daily maximum measurement.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions