Official forecasts from Singapore’s Meteorological Service point to a daily maximum of 33–34 °C across the first half of August under drier-than-average southwest-monsoon conditions reinforced by developing El Niño and positive Indian Ocean Dipole patterns. For 7 August specifically, numerical guidance and the latest NEA outlook converge on a peak near 33 °C, with only modest afternoon convection expected to limit further warming. This strong model consensus, combined with recent station observations consistently reaching the low- to mid-30s, has produced the near-certain market-implied probability for 33 °C. A rapid increase in cloud cover or an earlier-than-expected thunderstorm could cap the reading below this threshold, while an unusually clear, windy afternoon might push it to 34 °C, though both outcomes remain low-probability given current guidance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於新加坡8月7日的最高溫度?
33°C 99.9%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$54,787 交易量
$54,787 交易量
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
100%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 99.9%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$54,787 交易量
$54,787 交易量
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
100%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official forecasts from Singapore’s Meteorological Service point to a daily maximum of 33–34 °C across the first half of August under drier-than-average southwest-monsoon conditions reinforced by developing El Niño and positive Indian Ocean Dipole patterns. For 7 August specifically, numerical guidance and the latest NEA outlook converge on a peak near 33 °C, with only modest afternoon convection expected to limit further warming. This strong model consensus, combined with recent station observations consistently reaching the low- to mid-30s, has produced the near-certain market-implied probability for 33 °C. A rapid increase in cloud cover or an earlier-than-expected thunderstorm could cap the reading below this threshold, while an unusually clear, windy afternoon might push it to 34 °C, though both outcomes remain low-probability given current guidance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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