Persistent summer warmth in Shanghai's subtropical monsoon climate positions 27–28°C as the leading outcomes for the August 9 minimum, with traders assigning combined implied probability above 80%. Recent extended forecasts show overnight lows near 26°C under heavy rain and overcast skies expected that day, yet preceding days have featured above-average temperatures with minima around 27–28°C amid high humidity. Model consensus highlights limited nocturnal cooling from cloud cover and moisture, consistent with August climatology where average lows hover near 25–26°C but recent observations run warmer. Updated guidance on precipitation timing and intensity remains the key near-term variable that could shift probabilities toward 26°C or hold them at 27°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月9日上海最低溫度？
8月9日上海最低溫度？
27°C 42%
28°C 39%
26°C 13%
29°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-09
22°C或以下
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
5%
25°C
7%
26°C
13%
27°C
42%
28°C
39%
29°C
12%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C或以上
1%
27°C 42%
28°C 39%
26°C 13%
29°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-09
22°C或以下
$22 交易量
1%
23°C
$12 交易量
4%
24°C
$0 交易量
5%
25°C
$0 交易量
7%
26°C
$0 交易量
13%
27°C
$0 交易量
42%
28°C
$0 交易量
39%
29°C
$0 交易量
12%
30°C
$30 交易量
1%
31°C
$27 交易量
1%
32°C或以上
$12 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent summer warmth in Shanghai's subtropical monsoon climate positions 27–28°C as the leading outcomes for the August 9 minimum, with traders assigning combined implied probability above 80%. Recent extended forecasts show overnight lows near 26°C under heavy rain and overcast skies expected that day, yet preceding days have featured above-average temperatures with minima around 27–28°C amid high humidity. Model consensus highlights limited nocturnal cooling from cloud cover and moisture, consistent with August climatology where average lows hover near 25–26°C but recent observations run warmer. Updated guidance on precipitation timing and intensity remains the key near-term variable that could shift probabilities toward 26°C or hold them at 27°C.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$103結束日期
2026-08-09市場開放時間
Aug 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent summer warmth in Shanghai's subtropical monsoon climate positions 27–28°C as the leading outcomes for the August 9 minimum, with traders assigning combined implied probability above 80%. Recent extended forecasts show overnight lows near 26°C under heavy rain and overcast skies expected that day, yet preceding days have featured above-average temperatures with minima around 27–28°C amid high humidity. Model consensus highlights limited nocturnal cooling from cloud cover and moisture, consistent with August climatology where average lows hover near 25–26°C but recent observations run warmer. Updated guidance on precipitation timing and intensity remains the key near-term variable that could shift probabilities toward 26°C or hold them at 27°C.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$103結束日期
2026-08-09市場開放時間
Aug 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETPersistent summer warmth in Shanghai's subtropical monsoon climate positions 27–28°C as the leading outcomes for the August 9 minimum, with traders assigning combined implied probability above 80%. Recent extended forecasts show overnight lows near 26°C under heavy rain and overcast skies expected that day, yet preceding days have featured above-average temperatures with minima around 27–28°C amid high humidity. Model consensus highlights limited nocturnal cooling from cloud cover and moisture, consistent with August climatology where average lows hover near 25–26°C but recent observations run warmer. Updated guidance on precipitation timing and intensity remains the key near-term variable that could shift probabilities toward 26°C or hold them at 27°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions