Recent forecasts from global and regional models indicate Shanghai’s August 9 maximum will likely fall in the 28–31°C range, with trader-implied odds clustered tightly around 29–31°C. This reflects an incoming weather system, including potential influences from Typhoon Dolphin, expected to increase cloud cover, rainfall, and onshore flow, suppressing peak temperatures below the typical late-summer climatological average of 31–32°C. Model consensus points to overcast conditions and possible heavy rain on August 9, though exact timing and intensity remain uncertain, creating the narrow spread among leading outcomes. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and refined numerical guidance ahead of the date will be the key drivers of any further shifts in market positioning.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月9日上海最高溫度？
8月9日上海最高溫度？
29°C 32%
30°C 31%
31°C 22%
28°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-09
24°C or below
2%
25°C
1%
26°C
5%
27°C
5%
28°C
13%
29°C
32%
30°C
31%
31°C
22%
32°C
6%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
2%
29°C 32%
30°C 31%
31°C 22%
28°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-09
24°C or below
$443 交易量
2%
25°C
$533 交易量
1%
26°C
$121 交易量
5%
27°C
$352 交易量
5%
28°C
$510 交易量
13%
29°C
$376 交易量
32%
30°C
$42 交易量
31%
31°C
$42 交易量
22%
32°C
$35 交易量
6%
33°C
$50 交易量
2%
34°C or higher
$12 交易量
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global and regional models indicate Shanghai’s August 9 maximum will likely fall in the 28–31°C range, with trader-implied odds clustered tightly around 29–31°C. This reflects an incoming weather system, including potential influences from Typhoon Dolphin, expected to increase cloud cover, rainfall, and onshore flow, suppressing peak temperatures below the typical late-summer climatological average of 31–32°C. Model consensus points to overcast conditions and possible heavy rain on August 9, though exact timing and intensity remain uncertain, creating the narrow spread among leading outcomes. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and refined numerical guidance ahead of the date will be the key drivers of any further shifts in market positioning.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$2,516結束日期
2026-08-09市場開放時間
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global and regional models indicate Shanghai’s August 9 maximum will likely fall in the 28–31°C range, with trader-implied odds clustered tightly around 29–31°C. This reflects an incoming weather system, including potential influences from Typhoon Dolphin, expected to increase cloud cover, rainfall, and onshore flow, suppressing peak temperatures below the typical late-summer climatological average of 31–32°C. Model consensus points to overcast conditions and possible heavy rain on August 9, though exact timing and intensity remain uncertain, creating the narrow spread among leading outcomes. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and refined numerical guidance ahead of the date will be the key drivers of any further shifts in market positioning.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,516結束日期
2026-08-09市場開放時間
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent forecasts from global and regional models indicate Shanghai’s August 9 maximum will likely fall in the 28–31°C range, with trader-implied odds clustered tightly around 29–31°C. This reflects an incoming weather system, including potential influences from Typhoon Dolphin, expected to increase cloud cover, rainfall, and onshore flow, suppressing peak temperatures below the typical late-summer climatological average of 31–32°C. Model consensus points to overcast conditions and possible heavy rain on August 9, though exact timing and intensity remain uncertain, creating the narrow spread among leading outcomes. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and refined numerical guidance ahead of the date will be the key drivers of any further shifts in market positioning.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions