Recent short-range forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF indicate a warm air mass over northern France will limit nocturnal radiative cooling on August 8–9, supporting overnight lows near 16–18°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds. This aligns with trader consensus clustering on 17°C as the modal outcome, reflecting model agreement on minimum temperatures amid an ongoing summer pattern rather than a sharp cold front. Historical August minima in Paris average 15–16°C, but current high-pressure dominance and residual heat from prior days reduce the chance of sub-16°C readings while capping upside from excessive daytime heating. New model runs expected within 24 hours could shift probabilities if wind or cloud cover changes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月9日巴黎最低溫度？
8月9日巴黎最低溫度？
17°C 29%
18°C 25%
16°C 20%
19°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-09
14°C或以下
5%
15°C
7%
16°C
20%
17°C
29%
18°C
25%
19°C
12%
20°C
6%
21°C
4%
22°C
2%
23°C
1%
24°C或以上
<1%
17°C 29%
18°C 25%
16°C 20%
19°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-09
14°C或以下
$0 交易量
5%
15°C
$0 交易量
7%
16°C
$77 交易量
20%
17°C
$0 交易量
29%
18°C
$0 交易量
25%
19°C
$110 交易量
12%
20°C
$0 交易量
6%
21°C
$12 交易量
4%
22°C
$279 交易量
2%
23°C
$263 交易量
1%
24°C或以上
$12 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF indicate a warm air mass over northern France will limit nocturnal radiative cooling on August 8–9, supporting overnight lows near 16–18°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds. This aligns with trader consensus clustering on 17°C as the modal outcome, reflecting model agreement on minimum temperatures amid an ongoing summer pattern rather than a sharp cold front. Historical August minima in Paris average 15–16°C, but current high-pressure dominance and residual heat from prior days reduce the chance of sub-16°C readings while capping upside from excessive daytime heating. New model runs expected within 24 hours could shift probabilities if wind or cloud cover changes.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$753結束日期
2026-08-09市場開放時間
Aug 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF indicate a warm air mass over northern France will limit nocturnal radiative cooling on August 8–9, supporting overnight lows near 16–18°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds. This aligns with trader consensus clustering on 17°C as the modal outcome, reflecting model agreement on minimum temperatures amid an ongoing summer pattern rather than a sharp cold front. Historical August minima in Paris average 15–16°C, but current high-pressure dominance and residual heat from prior days reduce the chance of sub-16°C readings while capping upside from excessive daytime heating. New model runs expected within 24 hours could shift probabilities if wind or cloud cover changes.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$753結束日期
2026-08-09市場開放時間
Aug 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent short-range forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF indicate a warm air mass over northern France will limit nocturnal radiative cooling on August 8–9, supporting overnight lows near 16–18°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds. This aligns with trader consensus clustering on 17°C as the modal outcome, reflecting model agreement on minimum temperatures amid an ongoing summer pattern rather than a sharp cold front. Historical August minima in Paris average 15–16°C, but current high-pressure dominance and residual heat from prior days reduce the chance of sub-16°C readings while capping upside from excessive daytime heating. New model runs expected within 24 hours could shift probabilities if wind or cloud cover changes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions