Ongoing European heatwave conditions, including a fourth major episode tracked by Météo-France, are elevating overnight lows in Paris ahead of August 8, with ensemble models indicating limited radiative cooling under a warm air mass and possible residual cloud cover. This supports the market-implied odds favoring a daily minimum near 14°C (46.5% implied probability) or 15°C (20%), above the typical August baseline of 15°C, as daytime highs are projected to reach 28–30°C or higher. Recent forecast updates from Météo-France and ECMWF show stable high-pressure steering patterns that suppress usual nocturnal drops, though minor model spread around 13–16°C reflects uncertainty in exact boundary-layer mixing and any late timing shifts in the heat dome. Traders are weighting official guidance and consensus runs heavily given the short forecast horizon.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月8日巴黎最低溫度？
8月8日巴黎最低溫度？
14°C 47%
15°C 20%
13°C 12%
18°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-08
11°C或以下
5%
12°C
9%
13°C
12%
14°C
47%
15°C
20%
16°C
5%
17°C
8%
18°C
11%
19°C
2%
20°C
2%
21°C或更高
2%
14°C 47%
15°C 20%
13°C 12%
18°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-08
11°C或以下
$10 交易量
5%
12°C
$0 交易量
9%
13°C
$0 交易量
12%
14°C
$5 交易量
47%
15°C
$0 交易量
20%
16°C
$5 交易量
5%
17°C
$27 交易量
8%
18°C
$264 交易量
11%
19°C
$259 交易量
2%
20°C
$5 交易量
2%
21°C或更高
$5 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing European heatwave conditions, including a fourth major episode tracked by Météo-France, are elevating overnight lows in Paris ahead of August 8, with ensemble models indicating limited radiative cooling under a warm air mass and possible residual cloud cover. This supports the market-implied odds favoring a daily minimum near 14°C (46.5% implied probability) or 15°C (20%), above the typical August baseline of 15°C, as daytime highs are projected to reach 28–30°C or higher. Recent forecast updates from Météo-France and ECMWF show stable high-pressure steering patterns that suppress usual nocturnal drops, though minor model spread around 13–16°C reflects uncertainty in exact boundary-layer mixing and any late timing shifts in the heat dome. Traders are weighting official guidance and consensus runs heavily given the short forecast horizon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$580結束日期
2026-08-08市場開放時間
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing European heatwave conditions, including a fourth major episode tracked by Météo-France, are elevating overnight lows in Paris ahead of August 8, with ensemble models indicating limited radiative cooling under a warm air mass and possible residual cloud cover. This supports the market-implied odds favoring a daily minimum near 14°C (46.5% implied probability) or 15°C (20%), above the typical August baseline of 15°C, as daytime highs are projected to reach 28–30°C or higher. Recent forecast updates from Météo-France and ECMWF show stable high-pressure steering patterns that suppress usual nocturnal drops, though minor model spread around 13–16°C reflects uncertainty in exact boundary-layer mixing and any late timing shifts in the heat dome. Traders are weighting official guidance and consensus runs heavily given the short forecast horizon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$580結束日期
2026-08-08市場開放時間
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETOngoing European heatwave conditions, including a fourth major episode tracked by Météo-France, are elevating overnight lows in Paris ahead of August 8, with ensemble models indicating limited radiative cooling under a warm air mass and possible residual cloud cover. This supports the market-implied odds favoring a daily minimum near 14°C (46.5% implied probability) or 15°C (20%), above the typical August baseline of 15°C, as daytime highs are projected to reach 28–30°C or higher. Recent forecast updates from Météo-France and ECMWF show stable high-pressure steering patterns that suppress usual nocturnal drops, though minor model spread around 13–16°C reflects uncertainty in exact boundary-layer mixing and any late timing shifts in the heat dome. Traders are weighting official guidance and consensus runs heavily given the short forecast horizon.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions