Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and models like those on TimeandDate indicate Seoul and Incheon will see overnight lows near 26°C on August 8, 2026, amid persistent heatwave conditions with daytime highs reaching 36–37°C and minimal overnight cooling due to high humidity and light winds. This aligns with typical early-August climatology for the region, where average lows hover around 22–25°C but current atmospheric patterns favor slightly elevated minima. The 99% market-implied probability for exactly 26°C reflects strong trader consensus on these stable conditions, though modest forecast revisions from updated model runs or localized variations between Seoul and Incheon stations could still shift the official minimum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月8日首爾（仁川）最低溫度？
8月8日首爾（仁川）最低溫度？
26°C 100.0%
21°C或以下 <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$27,925 交易量
$27,925 交易量
2026-08-08
21°C或以下
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
是
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C或以上
否
26°C 100.0%
21°C或以下 <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$27,925 交易量
$27,925 交易量
2026-08-08
21°C或以下
$143 交易量
否
22°C
$137 交易量
否
23°C
$2,819 交易量
否
24°C
$3,684 交易量
否
25°C
$4,425 交易量
否
26°C
$5,200 交易量
是
27°C
$4,680 交易量
否
28°C
$3,134 交易量
否
29°C
$2,657 交易量
否
30°C
$658 交易量
否
31°C或以上
$388 交易量
否
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and models like those on TimeandDate indicate Seoul and Incheon will see overnight lows near 26°C on August 8, 2026, amid persistent heatwave conditions with daytime highs reaching 36–37°C and minimal overnight cooling due to high humidity and light winds. This aligns with typical early-August climatology for the region, where average lows hover around 22–25°C but current atmospheric patterns favor slightly elevated minima. The 99% market-implied probability for exactly 26°C reflects strong trader consensus on these stable conditions, though modest forecast revisions from updated model runs or localized variations between Seoul and Incheon stations could still shift the official minimum.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$27,925結束日期
2026-08-08市場開放時間
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and models like those on TimeandDate indicate Seoul and Incheon will see overnight lows near 26°C on August 8, 2026, amid persistent heatwave conditions with daytime highs reaching 36–37°C and minimal overnight cooling due to high humidity and light winds. This aligns with typical early-August climatology for the region, where average lows hover around 22–25°C but current atmospheric patterns favor slightly elevated minima. The 99% market-implied probability for exactly 26°C reflects strong trader consensus on these stable conditions, though modest forecast revisions from updated model runs or localized variations between Seoul and Incheon stations could still shift the official minimum.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$27,925結束日期
2026-08-08市場開放時間
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and models like those on TimeandDate indicate Seoul and Incheon will see overnight lows near 26°C on August 8, 2026, amid persistent heatwave conditions with daytime highs reaching 36–37°C and minimal overnight cooling due to high humidity and light winds. This aligns with typical early-August climatology for the region, where average lows hover around 22–25°C but current atmospheric patterns favor slightly elevated minima. The 99% market-implied probability for exactly 26°C reflects strong trader consensus on these stable conditions, though modest forecast revisions from updated model runs or localized variations between Seoul and Incheon stations could still shift the official minimum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions