Recent forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and timeanddate.com indicate Shanghai will likely see a daytime maximum near 31°C on August 17 amid overcast skies, scattered showers, and thundershowers that can suppress peak heating. These conditions align with typical late-summer patterns influenced by the East Asian monsoon, where humidity near 70-90% and moderate northeast winds limit extreme highs despite seasonal averages around 30-32°C. Model consensus across sources clusters the expected high between 30-32°C, with lower odds for 29°C or below reflecting minimal cooling signals and slim chances above 33°C due to cloud cover. Traders appear to weigh the latest updated model runs and official guidance, which emphasize precipitation timing as the key variable that could shift the observed maximum by a degree or two before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月17日上海最高溫度？
8月17日上海最高溫度？
31°C 45%
30°C 26%
32°C 19%
29°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-17
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
6%
30°C
26%
31°C
45%
32°C
19%
33°C
2%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 45%
30°C 26%
32°C 19%
29°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-17
25°C or below
$159 交易量
<1%
26°C
$159 交易量
<1%
27°C
$41 交易量
<1%
28°C
$498 交易量
3%
29°C
$1,515 交易量
6%
30°C
$606 交易量
26%
31°C
$1,225 交易量
45%
32°C
$1,263 交易量
19%
33°C
$173 交易量
2%
34°C
$709 交易量
2%
35°C or higher
$508 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and timeanddate.com indicate Shanghai will likely see a daytime maximum near 31°C on August 17 amid overcast skies, scattered showers, and thundershowers that can suppress peak heating. These conditions align with typical late-summer patterns influenced by the East Asian monsoon, where humidity near 70-90% and moderate northeast winds limit extreme highs despite seasonal averages around 30-32°C. Model consensus across sources clusters the expected high between 30-32°C, with lower odds for 29°C or below reflecting minimal cooling signals and slim chances above 33°C due to cloud cover. Traders appear to weigh the latest updated model runs and official guidance, which emphasize precipitation timing as the key variable that could shift the observed maximum by a degree or two before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ET
交易量
$6,856結束日期
2026-08-17市場開放時間
Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and timeanddate.com indicate Shanghai will likely see a daytime maximum near 31°C on August 17 amid overcast skies, scattered showers, and thundershowers that can suppress peak heating. These conditions align with typical late-summer patterns influenced by the East Asian monsoon, where humidity near 70-90% and moderate northeast winds limit extreme highs despite seasonal averages around 30-32°C. Model consensus across sources clusters the expected high between 30-32°C, with lower odds for 29°C or below reflecting minimal cooling signals and slim chances above 33°C due to cloud cover. Traders appear to weigh the latest updated model runs and official guidance, which emphasize precipitation timing as the key variable that could shift the observed maximum by a degree or two before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$6,856結束日期
2026-08-17市場開放時間
Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ETRecent forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and timeanddate.com indicate Shanghai will likely see a daytime maximum near 31°C on August 17 amid overcast skies, scattered showers, and thundershowers that can suppress peak heating. These conditions align with typical late-summer patterns influenced by the East Asian monsoon, where humidity near 70-90% and moderate northeast winds limit extreme highs despite seasonal averages around 30-32°C. Model consensus across sources clusters the expected high between 30-32°C, with lower odds for 29°C or below reflecting minimal cooling signals and slim chances above 33°C due to cloud cover. Traders appear to weigh the latest updated model runs and official guidance, which emphasize precipitation timing as the key variable that could shift the observed maximum by a degree or two before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions